US cases have been increasing by 33%/day for the last 3 weeks.

[The_jackalope]

18. The US will probably see five figure deaths in two weeks.

I'm a died-in-the-wool pessimist when it comes to humanity's psychological ability to take the necessary steps to slow down invisible catastrophes (yes, climate change, I'm looking at you) at the expense of their own comfort and enjoyment.

A lot will depend on when the disease becomes visible to average people through hospital shortages, the collapse of essential services and the deaths of acquaintances. How much devastation that will wreak remains to be seen. But it's coming, probably within two months, IMO.