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Ms. Toad

(33,915 posts)
9. The rate of increase in new cases has decined - pretty much stopped.
Sat Mar 28, 2020, 04:13 PM
Mar 2020

Go to worldometers and check the logarithmic scale for new cases. If it is curving downward the rate if increase is slowing.

A decline in the rate of new deaths would lag the decline in new cases by roughly 2 weeks.

So it looks to me like it's working.

By the time you reach Italy's growth rate, it is like trying to turn a massive oceanliner with a small tugboat. The early changes are going to be very small - barely noticeable. But looking at the data I see, the trend is in the right direction and (unfortunately) about the speed I would have expected.

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