General Discussion

JCMach1

(27,553 posts)

9. Imperial College Report says 18 months...

Mon Mar 30, 2020, 12:06 PM

Mar 2020

Even if a bit shorter, we are in for a horrific grind and several infection/re-infection peaks...

No one wants to talk about that part of the model.

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Without a vaccine, can we ever get back to "normal"? [View all] OAITW r.2.0 Mar 2020 OP

Yes, please look at South Korea (link) they're nearly back to normal uponit7771 Mar 2020 #1

Sure, I mean whatever passes for "normal" in South Korea ck4829 Mar 2020 #4

What's the data say as to the state of COVID-19 infection rates, new cases, reoccuring cases? OAITW r.2.0 Mar 2020 #6

Imperial College Report says 18 months... JCMach1 Mar 2020 #9

"No one wants to talk about that part of the model." OAITW r.2.0 Mar 2020 #12

Short of a quick vaccine, or significant prophylaxis JCMach1 Mar 2020 #20

JH website has SK and China bottomed out on infection rate (link) uponit7771 Mar 2020 #15

If they fully open back up they will reinfect JCMach1 Mar 2020 #16

True, right now they're closed to all travelers from the outside but they're not locked down like we uponit7771 Mar 2020 #22

From what I'm reading, it's too early to tell because.... KY_EnviroGuy Mar 2020 #50

+1 bronxiteforever Mar 2020 #7

Eventually herd immunity will kick in. We bore horrific death tolls from epidemics in the past, but GreenPartyVoter Mar 2020 #2

I hope so but DesertRat Mar 2020 #29

Realize that a lot more people have already had it and recovered than we know. bearsfootball516 Mar 2020 #52

Do we have any factual information on that Dan Mar 2020 #53

I don't think so, just common sense. bearsfootball516 Mar 2020 #54

If the virus does not mutate, herd immunity can get us back to normal, but LuckyCharms Mar 2020 #3

Look up donco Mar 2020 #5

And I didn't, although I rode a crowded NYC bus marybourg Mar 2020 #55

God, I hate the anti-vaxx movement with the heat of a thousand white-hot suns. Aristus Mar 2020 #8

Yeah it's the sheer stupidity of some people that is going to drag this out months. Initech Mar 2020 #35

I don't think so. Personally, I am not going to go back to normal social ooky Mar 2020 #10

When a vaccine is available, the same people who get the flu vaccine MineralMan Mar 2020 #11

Same! Proud Liberal Dem Mar 2020 #13

Not necessarily. Ms. Toad Mar 2020 #24

even 50% is better then 0% Marrah_Goodman Mar 2020 #25

Crazy opposition - likely not. Ms. Toad Mar 2020 #31

When it is first offered to the public, we will not know how effective it is, MineralMan Mar 2020 #26

We will have a better idea than the seasonal influenza. Ms. Toad Mar 2020 #30

COVID-19 might well mutate into a somewhat different strain, too. MineralMan Mar 2020 #46

It is more likely to be a good match. Ms. Toad Mar 2020 #65

Totally different scenario. We have to guess on the flu vaccine GulfCoast66 Mar 2020 #61

That is my expectation, as well Ms. Toad Mar 2020 #62

Right. You would think by now we would learn. GulfCoast66 Mar 2020 #64

That is when normal will return to my life redstateblues Mar 2020 #36

I disagree. LizBeth Mar 2020 #48

OK. MineralMan Mar 2020 #57

I think that they can Proud Liberal Dem Mar 2020 #14

Yes, in a few months there will be quite a bit of herd immunity and then we will have lots of tests Quixote1818 Mar 2020 #17

You mean, South Korea, right? Proud Liberal Dem Mar 2020 #19

Lol. Yes. Nt Quixote1818 Mar 2020 #58

Yes, I Believe So DarthDem Mar 2020 #18

Somehow we tend to think that since they returned to normal Igel Mar 2020 #37

Probably... Wounded Bear Mar 2020 #21

Probably not. roamer65 Mar 2020 #23

There will be a vaccine eventually. COVID-19 is in no way an extraordinary virus. DetlefK Mar 2020 #27

The problem is that it's a brand new virus that our immune marybourg Mar 2020 #56

I think we'll have effective treatment DesertRat Mar 2020 #28

This Bleacher Creature Mar 2020 #33

Tamiflu does not work that well across the board redstateblues Mar 2020 #38

If it takes until the end of this year millions will have already died. n/t totodeinhere Mar 2020 #41

Well...coronaviruses as a class are usually mild respiratory illnesses...also known as "a cold". Moostache Mar 2020 #32

WE WILL GET BACK TO NORMAL. GaYellowDawg Mar 2020 #34

No. And we should not want to get back to normal. MoonlitKnight Mar 2020 #39

This message was self-deleted by its author DesertRat Mar 2020 #43

Who knows if it will even be possible to develop a vaccine. totodeinhere Mar 2020 #40

Unnecessarily pessimistic IMO DarthDem Mar 2020 #42

Well excuse me for being pessimistic. Poeple are dropping like flies in New York and I am totodeinhere Mar 2020 #44

No need to ask to be excused at all . . . DarthDem Mar 2020 #47

I would rather be realistic. totodeinhere Mar 2020 #60

+1 ProfessorGAC Mar 2020 #45

I would have preferred a zombie apocalypse to this. redwitch Mar 2020 #63

I also think in time, they will find different ways of treating this. I am hearing a couple things LizBeth Mar 2020 #49

My guess... FarPoint Mar 2020 #51

Nope customerserviceguy Mar 2020 #59