General Discussion

Music Man

(1,184 posts)

27. While it's hard to fathom Trump's work the past few months making people like him *more*,

Mon Aug 3, 2020, 11:50 AM

Aug 2020

I wouldn't be surprised to see some kind of "tightening" as November approaches. The media and others will try to amplify the horse race aspect of things, we'll freak out, etc. Biden's VP selection will simultaneously energize our side as well as renew scrutiny of the ticket. So these things may be a wash.

More and more undecideds are going to select a candidate as November approaches, and we've got to remember too that not all of the undecideds will go to Biden. Some will go to Trump because they're really just Republicans at heart, period.

So there may be periods where the Biden and Trump gap grows and shrinks, but the bottom line is that on the whole, I'd rather be Joe Biden than Donald Trump right now.

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So both Fivethirtyeight and RCP are showing "tightening" .... [View all] Happy Hoosier Aug 2020 OP

It's gone from 40-41 percent approval qazplm135 Aug 2020 #1

The movement is likely tied to Rasmussen, which has Trump at 51%. Drunken Irishman Aug 2020 #6

Assmuffin is always an outlier. I ignore them. lagomorph777 Aug 2020 #25

........................... still_one Aug 2020 #2

Just went to their site and I don't really see that safeinOhio Aug 2020 #3

Yep. Biden up +8.3 in national poll average. dchill Aug 2020 #14

"Maybe a useless worry post" marmar Aug 2020 #4

Yeah, I think you are right. Happy Hoosier Aug 2020 #9

Now you don't have to worry alone Cirque du So-What Aug 2020 #18

lmao I'm out of this is what it's going to be like the next three months. Drunken Irishman Aug 2020 #5

Agreed Dem2 Aug 2020 #8

Good advice! Happy Hoosier Aug 2020 #11

I know just how you feel! FM123 Aug 2020 #21

This message was self-deleted by its author unc70 Aug 2020 #7

Possibly a shift from RV polls to LV polls? Fiendish Thingy Aug 2020 #10

Yes, that's it. I've been watching for that shift. writes3000 Aug 2020 #12

Not that much tightening - OhZone Aug 2020 #13

I get your point... but.... Happy Hoosier Aug 2020 #24

Rump just started lower in 2016 - OhZone Aug 2020 #28

Most people know only what any president tells them. patricia92243 Aug 2020 #15

portland and other protests not going over well Amishman Aug 2020 #16

The only thing tightening MoonlitKnight Aug 2020 #17

Yes. I noticed that in 538 too because I check it obsessively. Hopefully it's just noise but Squinch Aug 2020 #19

I'm not a professional pollster or poll historian, NCDem47 Aug 2020 #20

They're gonna get even tighter. Relax. tman Aug 2020 #22

Great links so we know what you are referring to grantcart Aug 2020 #23

Thought these were commonly known. Happy Hoosier Aug 2020 #26

While it's hard to fathom Trump's work the past few months making people like him *more*, Music Man Aug 2020 #27

useless worry post obamanut2012 Aug 2020 #29