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In reply to the discussion: IBD/TIPP Shows Much Tighter Race [View all]Statistical
(19,264 posts)18. The good news is 5% is a pretty large win.
Year Democratic Margin (+ for D, - for R)
1992 5.6
1996 8.5
2000 0.5
2004 -2.4
2008 7.2
2012 3.9
2016 1.8
If the lowest margin polls is showing +5 that is pretty damn amazing.
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No she hasn't...she just wants to avoid complacency...right wing BS with bad sampling.
Demsrule86
Oct 2020
#29
THIS. EXACTLY. I think the media does this every year to show a tight race for ratings.
Vivienne235729
Oct 2020
#28
Look at an average of the polls..However, national polls don't matter at this point. Nt
helpisontheway
Oct 2020
#8
Also I think the 538 poll rankings are more about repeatability not absolute accuracy
Amishman
Oct 2020
#19
so, you're saying Biden's floor is a 5-point victory? or is your concern deeper??
PubliusEnigma
Oct 2020
#14