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regnaD kciN

(26,044 posts)

1. They've always had the race closer than other polls...

Reply to Proud liberal 80 (Original post)

Fri Oct 23, 2020, 02:51 PM

Oct 2020

...but that 2.3 seemed an outlier even for their methodology, particularly when we weren’t seeing similar drastic movement in other polls.

Still, I expect the race to tighten somewhat, because I think most of the (relatively few) “undecideds” out there will turn out to be the proverbial shy Trump voters. Which is why even those analysts showing Biden up by close to double digits are predicting the final margin will be 7-8.

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Highlight:

Biden's IBD TIPP lead is growing [View all] Proud liberal 80 Oct 2020 OP

They've always had the race closer than other polls... regnaD kciN Oct 2020 #1

Heard Silver talking about undecideds, historically undecideds break heavily for the challenger Thekaspervote Oct 2020 #3

Investors lean puke so this is good. pwb Oct 2020 #2

Outliers gonna lie...watch the average of all polls. Nt Fiendish Thingy Oct 2020 #4