NC Dems lead In Person voting. Crushing Mail. [View all]

[Fahrenthold451]

Something is going on in NC for reals. Unlike other battleground states, Dems have the lead for IN PERSON early voters. Granted the lead is .8% but Dems have a huge 25% lead in mail ballots.

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/NC.html

Overall D lead of 255,000 votes +-
Bodes very well for Biden.

Curiously, NC is one of the few states where Rs have an advantage in the rate of return for their mail in ballots. (That's the percentage if those who turn in the ballot, not the actual numbers if ballots) Rs have a 2.7% advantage. IA is the other R Mail advantage state for rate of return.

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/NC.html

In the other battlegrounds Dems requested far more ballots but they also are turning them in at a higher rate.

Fl 1.5 Dem advantage
AZ 5 D advantage
PA 11.4 advantage

Will be watching that PA number closely. Nate Silver said that the Rs could be hurt more by stopping the Mail ballots as they are sitting on their ballots longer. This is presumably because they don't even know that slow mail delivery is an issue. Fox ain't talking about it.