I'm about to give up.

[TwilightZone]

2. It's very difficult to beat an incumbent, and Trump's support is historically stable.

Contrary to what we all wanted to believe (including me), this was never going to be a blowout. Many of us assumed that Trump *had* to lose support, but that belief wasn't based in reality.

Assuming he wins NV, AZ, PA, and/or GA, Biden's accomplishment is highly impressive. GA should be a shocker to everyone, but it doesn't seem that many realize just how significant it is.

We're disappointed about the Senate outcome, but I think our expectations were similarly a bit too elevated. We still have a shot with the two runoffs, but our next shot is 2022. It's the long game.

I do agree that many Trump supporters are a lost cause. As you noted, we've been told that we need to figure them out. I disagree. I think we should write them off to a large degree and focus on the voters for whom our message is positive. Turnout is always going to be the key as it was this cycle.