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LonePirate

(13,417 posts)

4. Their polling average closeness was mostly due to luck and not any methodological superiority.

Reply to Johnny2X2X (Reply #1)

Tue Nov 17, 2020, 10:06 AM

Nov 2020

They relied heavily on right-leaning pollsters who gave very favorable numbers to 45. The massive surge in turnout from white voters in red and swing states produced the results which RCP “predicted” with their polling averages which were biased in 45’s favor.

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Highlight:

Real Clear Politics Made a Sharp Right Turn. What Steered It? [View all] Denzil_DC Nov 2020 OP

They were a heckuva lot closer than 538 Johnny2X2X Nov 2020 #1

The article doesn't just focus on the polling averages (though it agrees with my OP assessment). Denzil_DC Nov 2020 #3

Their polling average closeness was mostly due to luck and not any methodological superiority. LonePirate Nov 2020 #4

Yes, their use of hard-right pollsters in their averages brought them some luck Dem2 Nov 2020 #9

I've known RCP to be right leaning since I started checking it in 2008 also... jcgoldie Nov 2020 #2

Yes they've always been right-leaning struggle4progress Nov 2020 #14

Billionaire Trump donors Liz and Dick Uihlein test positive for coronavirus Celerity Nov 2020 #5

You can't even read one article without RCP requiring you to register. KWR65 Nov 2020 #6

I noticed the stories on their front page changed and now look like 4chan or Parlour lagomorph777 Nov 2020 #7

I'm just saying... Dem2 Nov 2020 #8

It was funny to see Republicans and the Trumpanzees Rice4VP Nov 2020 #10

I always assumed that RCP was right-wing. Laelth Nov 2020 #11

Message auto-removed Name removed Nov 2020 #12

I don't ever remember them not being right wing DrToast Nov 2020 #13