The economy- as well as the ramped up hatred of anything Obama by the right-wing- will almost certainly ensure that Obama won't win by the same margins that he did in 2008 IMHO. OTOH the GOP field is very lackluster, there seems to be a significant portion of the GOP base that either doesn't like Romney and still wants an alternative to him or isn't terribly enthusiastic about him. People also have been turned off by the Republican Tea Party antics in the House and in many statehouses/state legislatures and may not be willing to put one in the WH (or somebody perceived as beholden to the Tea Party- as any GOPer would undoubtedly be). Additionally, Obama has not had any serious disasters- foreign or domestic, he has had some pretty significant foreign policy successes, and, like it or not, he had a lot of legislative accomplishments during his first two years in office. What is Romney running on bringing to this country that is superior to what Obama is doing and justifies Obama's removal from office and Romney's installation in the oval office? It seems to me that the GOP's only argument against Obama is that he's been a "disaster" for this country but are most people- aside from Fox News viewers- really buying that? I hear people disappointed about Obama because of one policy decision or another and people have more "sober" and realistic assessments of him than in 2008 but I've never heard anybody but the wingers and die-hard Republicans describe him as being a "disaster" for this country. I believe that as long as we do our best to GOTV we should ultimately be o.k.