US CV-19 Fifth Wave

[Johonny]

10. I think you're being to literal to what they're saying.

You're assuming the waves started at the exact same date as 2020 and 2021. Where they're saying the numbers are similar to the second wave of last year, which occurred at similar times (the summer season), but the second wave actually started in June of 2020 about 2 weeks after many states opened up. This wave in 2021 seems to be coming on about 2 weeks after 4th of July. You're information, thus, doesn't negate the original statement. Given vaccination numbers and the new variants I don't know exactly how good a model last season will actually be. One assumes the CDC is correct and this wave will mostly cut through the unvaccinated and vaccinated will get mild or no symptoms. We can also assume most vaccinated will not bother to get covid tests this summer and so the exact infection rate among the vaccinated will not be well known.