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EarlG

(21,934 posts)
5. It makes sense
Mon Aug 30, 2021, 01:41 PM
Aug 2021

The elderly are significantly more likely to die of Covid than young people.

The elderly are also significantly more likely to be vaccinated than young people.

So when an elderly person dies of Covid, it's much more likely they will have been vaccinated. From the article:

Here’s a simple thought experiment: imagine everyone is now fully protected with covid vaccines—which are excellent, but not 100% effective at preventing death. Some people who get infected with covid will still die, although far fewer than without vaccinations. With complete vaccination coverage all of these people will be fully vaccinated—100%. That doesn’t mean vaccines aren’t effective at reducing death—the overall number of people dying from covid will have been reduced dramatically.

The risk of dying from covid doubles roughly every seven years older a patient is. The 35-year difference between a 45-year-old and a 80-year-old means the risk of death between the two patients has doubled five times—equivalently it has increased by a factor of 32. An unvaccinated 70-year-old might be 32 times more likely to die of covid than an unvaccinated 35-year-old. This dramatic variation of the risk profile with age means that even excellent vaccines don’t reduce the risk of death for older people to below the risk for some younger demographics.

As the article states, it doesn't mean that the vaccines don't work.
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