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Chernevog

(31 posts)
24. So therefore...
Fri Aug 5, 2022, 11:40 PM
Aug 2022

You believe that Donald Trump really won in 2020 and there was voter fraud? Do you believe that Donald Trump lost in 2020. The bottom line is all it takes is looking at the demographics. The Republican and the Trump base largely consists of Baby Boomers and older. They made up about 50.1% of the voting population in 2016.

In 2020 that demographic bracket fell to 44% of the voting population...

This age bracket voted about 67% for Trump and about 30% for Biden...

Let's look at another age bracket. Let's look at voters age 44 and younger. In 2020 they made up 50% of all voters

Let's look at another voting group. Voters aged 18 to 29. In 2016 44% of this age age group turned out to vote

In 2020 it was 55.1% of this age bracket that turned out to vote. Again this age group voted 68% for Biden and 30% for Trump.

This isn't all that unusual. In every presidential election since the age of voting was dropped to 18 if this voting block turned out at 53% or higher the Democrat won the election. If it was below 53% and down into the 40s and even high 30s the Republicans won. It's simply a matter of numbers and it doesn't freaking matter what we heard in 2016 all that matters is how many more voters in that age group turned out in 2020

This was literally the highest percentage of this age group turning out to vote in 50 years.

Let's look at what happens to the core Republican Base by 2024. Baby Boomers and older will make up about 37% of the voting population.

In 2020 the only age bracket that turned out to vote for Trump in double digits were the silent generation. Voters age 75 to 95. And anybody still alive that's older. In 2020 they only made up about 20 million voters. By 2024 it's going to be about 12 million. These people tend to die at a much higher rate than people aged 18 to 29 and there's no getting around that. This is something similar to what happened in 1980 and 1984. The Baby Boomers started displacing their parents' generation who were the World War II generation. And so on. The Baby Boomers started voting for Republicans at about 55% for Republicans and 45% for Democrats

Let's look at the two largest Generations that are living today. The first is Generation Z which makes up 77 million
of the US population. However the first of this generation turned 18 years old in 2015. Every year after that several million more Generation Z turned 18... this entire generation is still not 18 years old yet. However in 2020 Millennials whose number 74 million were all old enough to vote. The entire generation. Let's look at the baby boomers. They were previously the largest generation but as of today they make up 67 million of the entire population

What people should not be saying is this is what we heard in 2016. It's not 2016 and a lot of the people who voted for Donald Trump in 2016 were dead by 2020. This doesn't give me a lot of comfort because I'm a baby boomer and my time is up. Unless somebody is going to cast a ballot for me after I am pushing up daisies I'm not going to be voting for much longer.


The real absurdity in this situation is people who constantly repeat the line that this is what we heard in 2016. It's not 2016 as everybody has repeated ad infinitum in the past is that the Republican voting base is made up of older voters and the Democratic base is made up of younger voters

Frank Luntz did another article in 2016... the title of the article was Millennials are terrifyingly liberal... they far more liberal than any other previous generation... and another narrative is also being disproven. People get older they get more conservative. What this does not mean is that as people get older they are going to change parties from Democrat to Republican. What this actually means is that somebody who is 18 years old and is a registered Democrat will very likely vote Democratic for the rest of their life. What's going to happen is they are going to shift from being a progressive Bernie Sanders supporter to a more conservative centrist Democrats supporter... very few people shift from one party affiliation to another as they get older. They simply move to the more conservative wing of their own party. This has been proven in poll after poll after poll and exit poll after exit poll after exit poll...

Another aspect of what happened in 2020 is that all of these younger voters were not overwhelmingly ecstatic about Joe Biden... and they were voting against Trump because they overwhelmingly hate Donald Trump and they did not want him winning the election again.

If you look at what happened in Georgia you saw the largest increase in turnout of Voters aged 18 to 29 as compared to 2016. In 2016 only 32 percent of this age group voted in Georgia
In 2020 51% of them turned out to vote largely because of Stacey Abrams... this didn't happen only in Georgia. It happened in every state in the United States except Louisiana where the turnout remained static. He turned out increased anywhere from 15 points

Even Trump was aware of this because of the places that Republicans demanded a recount. Donald Trump demanded a recount of Dane County Wisconsin. That's where the University of Wisconsin is and that's where 50,000 college students are which is half of the population of that County

Maricopa and the audit. It is the home of the University of Arizona and it has five community college campuses and the average age of the population in that county is 27 years old. It's lower than the national average of 29

The best thing that Democrats can stop doing is stop repeating the tired old line of that's what we heard in 2016 if that narrative were true you have to admit that Donald Trump one in 2020 and there was massive voter fraud



"TOP GOP POLLSTER: YOUNG AMERICANS ARE TERRIFYINGLY LIBERAL


Americans 18 to 26 are extremely liberal, so liberal that it’s hard not to believe the U.S. is fundamentally changing.
Jon Schwarz
February 24 2016, 1:27 p.m....



https://theintercept.com/2016/02/24/top-gop-pollster-young-americans-are-terrifyingly-liberal/









Barr: You were/are his principal enabler. MerryHolidays Aug 2022 #1
Read a recent article by Frank Luntz Chernevog Aug 2022 #13
Heard the same thing in 2016. n/t Yavin4 Aug 2022 #21
So therefore... Chernevog Aug 2022 #24
Trump can win in 2024. Yavin4 Aug 2022 #28
Another interesting thing has happened in Georgia Chernevog Aug 2022 #27
Frank Luntz looks "at my country as an outsider."???? 3catwoman3 Aug 2022 #26
Absolutely Rebl2 Aug 2022 #20
Let's look at something Luntz did in 2021... Chernevog Aug 2022 #29
'The day he's elected...'??? House of Roberts Aug 2022 #2
Maybe he knows republiQan legislatures will certify THEIR electors... Justice matters. Aug 2022 #8
Mike must be huffing glue. spanone Aug 2022 #3
Trump would never consider himself a lame duck. rsdsharp Aug 2022 #4
AND the 19th Amendment Wednesdays Aug 2022 #16
Well if we're off on flights of fancy, how about the 13th? rsdsharp Aug 2022 #17
Don't Forget.. & America & the Planet Cha Aug 2022 #5
Barr enabled this fascists Slobfather - he begged for the job malaise Aug 2022 #6
I detest Barr. Joinfortmill Aug 2022 #7
How can we downvote a post? Get it off the DU front pages? erronis Aug 2022 #9
By replying to the OP you put it at the top. former9thward Aug 2022 #11
Thanks. I did not know that. aeromanKC Aug 2022 #14
And I'm replying to you to put it on the bottom ... Hermit-The-Prog Aug 2022 #22
Keep dividing the republiQan mob... Justice matters. Aug 2022 #10
"Bill who?" LudwigPastorius Aug 2022 #12
I've been convinced for quite sometime ... Earth-shine Aug 2022 #15
Uhhh YEAH .... definitely a toupee. ✔️ live love laugh Aug 2022 #30
Stroke out already, you F'n, murdering, orange TRAITOR**. niyad Aug 2022 #18
Recommended. H2O Man Aug 2022 #19
So he talks about the 8 years of Reagan mountain grammy Aug 2022 #23
He was bent on revenge when he threw his hair in the ring... 3catwoman3 Aug 2022 #25
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