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Fiendish Thingy

(15,840 posts)
25. Actually it is a huge issue
Sat Mar 2, 2024, 03:55 PM
Mar 2024

Adjusting for Oversampling is known as reweighting, and it is a non-standardized, unscientific dirty little secret of the polling industry.

Oversampling, and more importantly, the inconsistent, Inaccurate reweighting techniques are, IMO, largely the reason polls have gotten less accurate over the past decade.

About That Poll (NY Times) [View all] brooklynite Mar 2024 OP
In context, it does make sense. TwilightZone Mar 2024 #1
I hope Democrats are NOT taking up this bet without actually putting up LOTs of work riversedge Mar 2024 #2
The race was always going to be close. TwilightZone Mar 2024 #10
I just don't get what is so horrible about Biden, especially, in comparison to Trump. RKP5637 Mar 2024 #3
Biden isn't horrible. Tennessee Hillbilly Mar 2024 #17
Yep, exactly! RKP5637 Mar 2024 #20
People think the state of America right now is horrible. All Mixed Up Mar 2024 #41
Excellent summary! RKP5637 Mar 2024 #48
That explanation of the poll makes sense. David__77 Mar 2024 #4
yes samsingh Mar 2024 #9
More polls ... Charging Triceratops Mar 2024 #5
Thank you. Alliepoo Mar 2024 #6
"Dean Phillips finished fourth in a two man race," LOL! Ocelot II Mar 2024 #7
He's a spoiler so he has plenty of Republican cash to keep trying to spoil. emulatorloo Mar 2024 #26
He doesn't seem to be very good at it, though. Ocelot II Mar 2024 #27
He's horrible at it! emulatorloo Mar 2024 #31
i think a lot more than 3% of trump's supporters have fled. look at the decline in attendance in his rallies samsingh Mar 2024 #8
Rally attendance really isn't indicative of anything. TwilightZone Mar 2024 #11
Unless people are lying, that quote makes it worse not better karynnj Mar 2024 #12
Yeah, that's the part I choked on, too. Gidney N Cloyd Mar 2024 #13
Many people are just not that into politics womanofthehills Mar 2024 #16
Here's why it could be true Polybius Mar 2024 #21
When you start to break polls down like this, the MOE becomes much bigger. All Mixed Up Mar 2024 #42
Good points karynnj Mar 2024 #44
The Times' polls are consistently outliers, to generate clicks and views Fiendish Thingy Mar 2024 #14
Pollsters adjust for oversampling. TwilightZone Mar 2024 #23
Actually it is a huge issue Fiendish Thingy Mar 2024 #25
I'd like to add something to your signature line quote. barbaraann Mar 2024 #32
How are 97% still voting for him edhopper Mar 2024 #15
They know the primaries will be over. former9thward Mar 2024 #18
You're telling us Trump is dropping out? HareKrishna Mar 2024 #29
No. former9thward Mar 2024 #40
Because most of the other 40% were always going to vote for him in November. TwilightZone Mar 2024 #22
if Biden does not win big I will be shocked RANDYWILDMAN Mar 2024 #19
Post removed Post removed Mar 2024 #24
If you have a reason to dislike Political Wire, please share...... brooklynite Mar 2024 #30
10% will now back trmp? spanone Mar 2024 #28
(pssssttt... it's not true.) Think. Again. Mar 2024 #33
I'm just going to say this vercetti2021 Mar 2024 #34
I'm seeing this NYT poll given a lot coverage on a number of sites. sop Mar 2024 #35
Joe and Dump tied with women at 46% d_b Mar 2024 #36
You're always racing to DU to defend these chump-ass polls. Do you make a living from polling sciences? SoFlaBro Mar 2024 #37
No. I'm a retired transportation planner. brooklynite Mar 2024 #38
How do you know that the polls are not just made up? There is ZERO to validate accuracy since there is no election. SoFlaBro Mar 2024 #39
You think someone just created this poll out of whole cloth? TexasDem69 Mar 2024 #43
The poll is flawed videohead5 Mar 2024 #45
I asked what is the method of verification. You know what you can do with your blessing. SoFlaBro Mar 2024 #47
The article in the NYT is definitely flawed and the poll ain't worth much. nt BootinUp Mar 2024 #46
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»About That Poll (NY Times...»Reply #25