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Tom of Temecula

(1,389 posts)
Sun Apr 21, 2024, 11:13 PM Apr 21

RFK Jr. Backfires And Creates A Massive Problem For Trump [View all]

New polling from NBC News shows that RFK Jr. significantly cuts into Donald Trump’s support with Republican voters. Via NBC News:

Trump leads Biden by 2 percentage points in a head-to-head matchup, 46% to 44%, in the new NBC News poll Yet when the ballot is expanded to five named candidates, Biden is the one with a 2-point advantage: Biden 39%, Trump 37%, Kennedy 13%, Jill Stein 3% and Cornel West 2%. The big reason why is that the poll finds a greater share of Trump voters in the head-to-head matchup backing Kennedy in the expanded ballot. Fifteen percent of respondents who picked Trump the first time pick Kennedy in the five-way ballot, compared with 7% of those who initially picked Biden. Also, Republican voters view Kennedy much more favorably (40% positive, 15% negative) than Democratic voters do (16% positive, 53% negative).

There are two numbers that are worth paying attention to. Joe Biden has gained five points since the last NBC News poll, which is above the margin of error of 3.1 points, and the four-point swing with RFK Jr. is factored in is also above the margin of error. The trendline shows that President Biden’s momentum is real, and RFK Jr. is a huge problem for Donald Trump.

Biden’s supporters seem more locked in than Trump’s and if the ex-president gets criminally convicted, he might see support hemorrhage away. It would not be out of the realm of possibility for Trump’s support to fall into the thirties and back to his core MAGA base if he is criminally convicted.


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I still think the polls are skewed by Russian interference, or just outright media bias. lees1975 Apr 21 #1
Totally agree calguy Apr 21 #3
Wrong - In Michigan, RFK Jr averages 10.4 in last 5polls womanofthehills Apr 22 #9
RF jr is a Fucking Lying Ass Idiot.. Which Appeals More to Stupid TSF fans. Cha Apr 22 #14
You can't claim "wrong" by using polls as support. W_HAMILTON Apr 22 #16
You're talking polling numbers calguy Apr 22 #18
I totally agree with you, lees. The commercial media is setting it up for trump to say it's stolen AGAIN! BComplex Apr 22 #5
Hey GOP, have a cigar to celebrate your 3rd party stunt candidate Blue Owl Apr 21 #2
Welker and Kornacki were pushing the bad parts of this poll today. WarGamer Apr 22 #4
So, if Trump picks RFK for his Veep then what happens? jalan48 Apr 22 #6
he would likely never do it, and RFK Jr is nutter, but that wildcard ticket is something I would not relish so much Celerity Apr 22 #7
I think Trump would pick someone who he thought would bring the most votes to the ticket. jalan48 Apr 22 #10
Another Trump VP pick that would not be to my liking in terms of expanding his vote share: Chris Sununu Celerity Apr 22 #13
What if the moon is really made of green cheese? Maru Kitteh Apr 22 #8
RFK Jr said he was asked - but declined womanofthehills Apr 22 #11
RF jr is Still a POS Rat Fucking Lying Idiot. And No Dems who really Care Cha Apr 22 #15
This message was self-deleted by its author ShazzieB Apr 22 #12
Jr has already claimed that Trump asked him, DemocraticPatriot Apr 22 #19
I am very skeptical that West will be on the ballot in many states Jose Garcia Apr 22 #17
This actually makes sense Cosmocat Apr 22 #20
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