General Discussion
Showing Original Post only (View all)Here is why a poll saying many Dems want Biden to drop out is to be COMPLETELY IGNORED. [View all]
#1: Those Dems who are in a snapshot poll saying Biden should drop out for a younger candidate would not now suddenly vote for Trump. In head to head matchups in the polls (for those who love polls), it is a tie race.
#2: Obviously opinions have been affected by the media onslaught on this and those turncoats shitting their pants and pushing the narrative based entirely on FALLACY and CONJECTURE.
#3: The average voter does not really understand how presidential elections actually work. It is an up or down vote on the performance of the incumbent while in office, and Biden is very strong on his record of accomplishment. It is about GOVERNING and other key structural factors. It is NOT about age, debates, polls, punditry, or donors. NONE of those are PREDICTIVE. There is ZERO evidence that Biden would lose on election day several months away, and ZERO evidence that Trump would win on election day several months away.
#4: Who would be the new "Super Candidate" guaranteed to win in a landslide? The average voter, and even these Congressional members, have no clue. None. There are TONS of different opinions. It would be BITTERLY CONTESTED sending the party into sheer chaos and deep division. People would come out of the woodwork screaming for this candidate or that candidate and this one or that one would be better. Voters would demand a say and would want a new contested primary.
There would be litigation. There would be ballot access issues. There would be HUGE challenges. Where is the evidence that a new candidate would absolutely be guaranteed to win on election day without the key predictive advantages of INCUMBENCY and a solid and smooth primary election win for Biden? It doesn't exist. The average voter doesn't consider any of this. Many do not understand how this all works.
My message to everyone is stop the bedwetting over snapshot non-predictive polls. Stop the fallacies and fantasies. Stop this political suicide nonsense. Get behind Biden because he is the candidate! Period.
