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lees1975

(5,750 posts)
13. More conservative than it was in 2012?
Thu Sep 5, 2024, 01:34 PM
Sep 5

Since 2012, it elected a Democrat, Tom Wolf, as governor, over a Republican, Corbett, stopping his bid for a second term. It re-elected Wolf to a second term, overwhelmingly, and then, for the first time in three decades, elected a Democrat back to back to a two-term Democrat. All the while, the legislature, which reached veto-proof status in 2014, came all the way back to one house now controlled by Dems. It went from just 5 Democrats to 9 in the House in just one cycle, and elected a Democratic senator to replace a Republican one in 2022. All statewide office holders have been Democrats since Wolf's second term.

Casey won a landslide last time he ran for Re-election, in 2018, 56-43, over a popular congressman, Lou Barletta. 4 out of 19 polls actually got Casey's total inside their margin of error. Every other one was way below where he finished.

Seeing these trends, I would guess that Harris leads Trump at somewhere around 52-45, and Casey is up anywhere from 8 to 10. I don't think the polls are getting it anywhere near right.

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