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JohnSJ

(96,744 posts)
Wed Oct 9, 2024, 06:04 PM Oct 9

That Quinnipiac makes the comment that there are "cracks in the blue wall", based on their latest polling, is nonsense. [View all]

Making a conclusion on one poll is ridiculous.

The fact is all the legitimate pollsters, including Quinnipiac indicate that this election is too close to call.

In other words the consensus among the pollsters is pretty consistent, and they act as a control for each other.

Being ahead within the MOE, does not mean you are ahead, and if one pollster indicates a value outside the MOE compared to other pollsters that don't indicate that, it might mean it could be an outlier.

That being said, the problem I have with pollsters today is that I don't think they adequately account for those who won't answer calls from numbers they don't recognize, and with all the spam calls out there, that might be significant.

Regardless, we will know shortly the accuracy of the current polls.


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