NYT: Republicans Appear Poised to Take Control of Senate, New Poll Shows

[RidinWithHarris]

9. Mentioned not because it's a surprise, but because that's where Democrats were hoping to compensate for Montana

We currently have only 51 seats (including independents who caucus with Democrats). We lose control of the Senate if we lose two seats, or even just one seat if we don't have the Presidency.

We're definitely losing WV with the retirement of Manchin from the Senate. Manchin was just barely a Democrat anyway, but did caucus with us so helped us control the Senate (then screwed us on many close votes). WV is VERY Republican, so it was amazing Manchin held out there for as long as he did.

Then there's Montana. It's not crazy NYT bias that Tester's prospects aren't looking too good.

So that's where mentioning TX and FL comes in. Tough as a Democratic win is in those states, they are nevertheless the best prospects we've seen to flip a Senate seat from red to blue.

If we lose WV and MT, and don't make up for at least one of those seats somewhere else, the Senate slips away from us.