Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

General Discussion

Wiz Imp

(1,975 posts)

9. Based on what's listed on 270towin

Reply to SouthernCal_Dem (Original post)

Mon Oct 14, 2024, 02:03 PM

Oct 14

The last national poll to show Trump with a lead was a full month ago from AtlasIntel (a right wing pollster which does not have a positive reputation). During the past month only 4 polls (out of 44) even showed the race tied. That includes the NBC poll which was of registered voters meaning it probably under states Harris' support.

Without commenting on the reliability of the polls, it is totally fair to say it remains a close race, but the national polling has shown the margins very stable for over a month now.

Yes, the swing state polls have tightened but that can be traced directly to the heavy influx of "red wave" polls since the beginning of October.

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

34 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Am I missing Something? Why is everyone freaking out over recent national polling? [View all] SouthernCal_Dem Oct 14 OP

Recommended. H2O Man Oct 14 #1

Thanks for some perspective Doc Sportello Oct 14 #2

She's leading in most key states she needs Mad_Machine76 Oct 14 #3

Possibly because a 2-3% national win might not win the election. WarGamer Oct 14 #4

Bingo. The national vote isn't the concern. PeaceWave Oct 14 #26

K&R for, thanks - the "news" has been getting me to the last nerve. UTUSN Oct 14 #5

Especially now that voting is underway. nt Qutzupalotl Oct 14 #6

Check this out Miami Blue Oct 14 #7

Because a bunch of concern trolls are spreading FUD AZSkiffyGeek Oct 14 #8

You incorrectly assume that making people worried about the outcome of the election helps Trump RidinWithHarris Oct 14 #10

Welcome to DU - keep up the concern! AZSkiffyGeek Oct 14 #13

What concern? RidinWithHarris Oct 14 #14

Based on what's listed on 270towin Wiz Imp Oct 14 #9

This is totally anecdotal, but... CrispyQ Oct 14 #11

Great story! Duncan Grant Oct 14 #21

The NBC poll shifted 5 points in 3 weeks TeslaNova Oct 14 #12

Because this is DU in October of an election year mcar Oct 14 #15

To be honest, because some people have to have something to freak out about. OldBaldy1701E Oct 14 #16

Doomsayers. They have to chime in whenever they can. MineralMan Oct 14 #17

Sorry but DownriverDem Oct 14 #18

2016 PTSD moonscape Oct 14 #23

Because A Three Point RobinA Oct 14 #19

Agreed. We need this not to be a close election. MadameButterfly Oct 14 #32

Because it's far too close and so many Americans are absolutely immune to reason. maxsolomon Oct 14 #20

I mainly worry about the battleground state polls. kerry-is-my-prez Oct 14 #22

I worry about my fellow citizens. How could this crazy old fascist poll higher than 3%? retread Oct 14 #24

2 options: maxsolomon Oct 14 #25

"Everyone" is not. Think. Again. Oct 14 #27

Small stuff that makes me freak out less Ursus Arctos Oct 14 #28

Trump has 48% approval in that NBC poll JCMach1 Oct 14 #29

He has never been over 47% sky_masterson Oct 14 #30

Exactly... JCMach1 Oct 14 #34

K&R spanone Oct 14 #31

Didn't anybody watch David Shuster..... Butterflylady Oct 14 #33