General Discussion

WarGamer

(15,545 posts) Sat Nov 2, 2024, 06:05 PM Nov 2

143

big BIG BREAKING NEWS... IOWA: Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day 47-44 [View all]

This is BIG... if accurate.

Losing Iowa would signal a BIG election night thumping for Trump.

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/11/02/iowa-poll-kamala-harris-leads-donald-trump-2024-presidential-race/75354033007/

Iowa Poll: Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day. Here's how

Kamala Harris now leads Donald Trump in Iowa — a startling reversal for Democrats and Republicans who have all but written off the state’s presidential contest as a certain Trump victory.

A new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows Vice President Harris leading former President Trump 47% to 44% among likely voters just days before a high-stakes election that appears deadlocked in key battleground states.

The results follow a September Iowa Poll that showed Trump with a 4-point lead over Harris and a June Iowa Poll showing him with an 18-point lead over Democratic President Joe Biden, who was the presumed Democratic nominee at the time.

Who said we're not going to have a winner Tuesday night?????

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big BIG BREAKING NEWS... IOWA: Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day 47-44 [View all] WarGamer Nov 2 OP

That's the gold standard in Iowa. RandySF Nov 2 #1

indeed it is. WarGamer Nov 2 #3

Selzer's been an outlier before Bernardo de La Paz Nov 2 #49

Great news! senseandsensibility Nov 2 #2

Now THAT would be something. Fiendish Thingy Nov 2 #4

If he is trying to hold on to Iowa at this point newdeal2 Nov 2 #6

I better get some Martinelli's to chill for Tuesday...nt Fiendish Thingy Nov 2 #9

Drumph just filled his diaper Tribetime Nov 2 #10

With only two days left to campaign.... calguy Nov 2 #44

A great start !! C_U_L8R Nov 2 #5

Holy shit 400 EV is possible Tribetime Nov 2 #7

WOW!! Hope this is true!! bluestarone Nov 2 #8

Loved this sentence....... a kennedy Nov 2 #11

Obama did it in 2008! 50 Shades Of Blue Nov 2 #12

WOW!! This is J. Ann Selzer's poll, arguably the best pollster. onetexan Nov 2 #13

Good to Know, onetexan.. Cha Nov 2 #59

Doesn't it? I believe Kamala will win all 7 swing states, and then some! onetexan Nov 3 #67

I Surely Hope So!. with All my Heart and Soul! 🕊️🕯️💙🌊🌊🌊💙🇺🇸🌈 Cha Nov 3 #78

Remember - Iowa was the 4th state to recognize same gender marriages. Ms. Toad Nov 2 #14

I just heard about this. Quiet Em Nov 2 #15

I always knew Iowa was winnable. clutterbox1830 Nov 2 #16

Ohio is possible now too.... and Florida and Texas Tribetime Nov 2 #18

I agree although clutterbox1830 Nov 2 #23

Lets hope those thunderstorms end early. LisaL Nov 2 #37

There was a recent poll showing her doing well in Kansas Sky Jewels Nov 2 #17

Please, oh please, be true. Music Man Nov 2 #19

This tweet from the chair of the Iowa GOP aged horribly in under two hours: demmiblue Nov 2 #20

damn... WarGamer Nov 2 #21

... Nevilledog Nov 2 #22

FUCKING LOVE THIS AKwannabe Nov 2 #42

Emerson has Trump by 10 in Iowa today. Their methodology must be completely different? Quixote1818 Nov 2 #24

they say the person behind the DMR poll, Ann Selzer... is basically never wrong. WarGamer Nov 2 #27

Yeah, it's A+ rated and their track record is pretty flawless from what I am seeing. nt Quixote1818 Nov 2 #28

flawless is over the top iin my opinion Tetrachloride Nov 2 #31

Mr. Spock agrees. nt BootinUp Nov 2 #52

This is why I might be able to sleep MadameButterfly Nov 3 #66

Emerson has been bullish on Trump this entire Deminpenn Nov 2 #53

Emerson is one of the polls Simon Rosenberg warned us about Qutzupalotl Nov 3 #72

Emerson isn't a partisan pollster, but Deminpenn Nov 3 #74

Selzer, the Des Moines Register pollster on MSNBC mchill Nov 2 #60

That's a big one. I'm hoping for my country that we see lots of similar surprises on Tuesday. That, and not... NNadir Nov 2 #25

K&R spanone Nov 2 #26

Wow Tweedy Nov 2 #29

This would suggest we take House and expand Senate Tribetime Nov 2 #30

Oh, please make it come true! 🤞🤞🤞🤞🤞 wordstroken Nov 2 #32

Landslide, anyone? Even a small landslide? usonian Nov 2 #33

I'm very optimistic, but I don't want to use the "L" word yet FakeNoose Nov 2 #38

Yes, the big W. usonian Nov 2 #43

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, Mad World! FakeNoose Nov 2 #45

OMG!!! Sogo Nov 2 #34

Down ballot races Strelnikov_ Nov 2 #35

Lets go!!! nt LexVegas Nov 2 #36

This poll could be off by 10 points liberalmuse Nov 2 #39

right! It could be off 8 and... jcgoldie Nov 2 #47

Tim Miller on The Bulwark ibegurpard Nov 2 #56

Yah, was just watching Kyle Kulinkski's commentary on it... ThePartyThatListens Nov 2 #40

If this poll is accurate and if Iowa voters' behavior follows the polls Vogon_Glory Nov 2 #41

Or maybe Walz as VP giving the ticket a Midwestern sensibility. Music Man Nov 2 #46

:-) Lemon Lyman Nov 2 #48

Fantastic if true, it also could be an outlier 0rganism Nov 2 #50

Could 2024 Iowa be 2008's Indiana? ibegurpard Nov 2 #51

According to Ann Selzer, women (white) are responsible for this, especially those over 65 who vote in greater numbers... AntiFascist Nov 2 #54

An Idea Florida Dem Nov 2 #55

HOPEFULLY It's Absolutely 💯 Cha Nov 2 #57

Tim Miller interviewed Ann Seltzer Deminpenn Nov 2 #58

;-) Lemon Lyman Nov 2 #61

Match's my observations as well Strelnikov_ Nov 3 #70

There are Trumpers around me who had signs in 2016, Deminpenn Nov 3 #75

The only pollster to correctly predict Obama's victory dalton99a Nov 2 #62

Well this is a Holy Shit moment! NBachers Nov 2 #63

Just like old times? Zambero Nov 2 #64

Are you feeling it yet?? peggysue2 Nov 2 #65

I wonder how many red states are going blue. Emile Nov 3 #68

Post removed Post removed Nov 3 #69

Iowa voted Obama twice . . . and then Trump twice. And you think there isn't something satanic going on? hawkeye21 Nov 3 #71

Someone posted that Iowa has been hit hard by the Abortion bans Thrill Nov 3 #73

Lack of obgyn's hits women of all ages... seniors included getagrip_already Nov 3 #76

Mr. Bayard is from Iowa, and has relatives there Bayard Nov 3 #77