General Discussion

Johnny2X2X

(21,842 posts) Tue Nov 5, 2024, 11:32 AM Nov 5

How confident are you this election day? [View all]

I think the last week was very good for Harris and bad for Trump, she has the momentum that candidates have right before they outperform the polls. There's a lot of data that shows well for her right now. Early voting was better for her than she needed and the data suggests a lot of Republicans are voting for her, maybe 10%.

I don't think this is a coin flip, I think she's clearly favored but it's not a sure thing.

227 votes, 4 passes \| Time left: Unlimited
	0-25%
	16 (7%)
	26-50%
	20 (9%)
	51-75%
	46 (20%)
	76-90%
	72 (32%)
	91-100%
	73 (32%)
	4 DU members did not wish to select any of the options provided.
Show usernames Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll

63 replies

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Highlight:

How confident are you this election day? [View all] Johnny2X2X Nov 5 OP

If turnout is high, I am confident Johonny Nov 5 #1

Early reports are turnout is sky high Johnny2X2X Nov 5 #2

Indeed, I have yet to hear of low or even moderate turnout ANYWHERE. Wednesdays Nov 5 #12

Early voting is a sign Johnny2X2X Nov 5 #14

The two last rallies said it all... FirstLight Nov 5 #3

Does have the feel like she has all the momentum Johnny2X2X Nov 5 #4

90% mvd Nov 5 #5

Very sure she'll win -misanthroptimist Nov 5 #6

Julmur julmur Nov 5 #7

100% H2O Man Nov 5 #8

Nice! Elessar Zappa Nov 5 #42

0-25? Johnny2X2X Nov 5 #9

Most of the mainstream news sites Diraven Nov 5 #27

Since when? Emile Nov 5 #31

Ok maybe I'm just looking at the wrong sites Diraven Nov 5 #33

The Daily Telegraph bias is politically conservative Emile Nov 5 #34

pessimistic Homoudont Nov 5 #44

I voted 51-75 but I'm closer to 75 than 51. Self Esteem Nov 5 #10

Kamala says we are going to win. Emile Nov 5 #11

I'm quite confident that Kamala will win but Cairycat Nov 5 #13

I have been in the bullish group this election season jfz9580m Nov 5 #15

For me, I started sensing 2008 a couple weeks ago Johnny2X2X Nov 5 #17

Thanks-interesting post jfz9580m Nov 5 #20

Coud be more like 2012 Johnny2X2X Nov 5 #26

Yeah - that does reek of desperation jfz9580m Nov 5 #28

Not getting hopes up K221 Nov 5 #30

Welcome to DU AZSkiffyGeek Nov 5 #32

Seriously? Who did you vote for? marble falls Nov 5 #40

Optimistic but terrified palustris Nov 5 #16

Hi fella! GreenEyedLefty Nov 5 #58

Trump MSG rally really hurt him I think crimycarny Nov 5 #18

I go back and forth between feeling good and worried Poiuyt Nov 5 #19

Trust Kamala, she is sure we're going to win. Emile Nov 5 #23

65% confident Polybius Nov 5 #21

Coin flip as far as I am concerned exboyfil Nov 5 #22

I am about 90% confident. NavyDem Nov 5 #24

26-50% missaj Nov 5 #25

I think she'll win the vote but it is what Trump does Jarqui Nov 5 #29

Nauseously optimistic. Bleacher Creature Nov 5 #35

My grandson who lives with us is voting for president for the first time. mommymarine2003 Nov 5 #36

My brain tells me we are going to win MaryMagdaline Nov 5 #37

85% Bullish but not claiming certainty. TheKentuckian Nov 5 #38

I expect shenanigans from the GOP Blue Full Moon Nov 5 #39

Probably about 75% but Elessar Zappa Nov 5 #41

The country I've known for 67 years can't be so broken as to elect one of the worst wiggs Nov 5 #43

25% confident. Managing to think about other things occasionally. maxsolomon Nov 5 #45

I'm not loving today. G_KIA Nov 5 #46

If you click 'Show Usernames' canetoad Nov 5 #47

You been keeping an eye on them too. Emile Nov 5 #49

Yep Emile canetoad Nov 5 #59

Thjank you for pointing this out Johnny2X2X Nov 5 #50

What a co-winky-dink! FSogol Nov 5 #54

We're right where we need to be or ahead of schedule Jason1961 Nov 5 #48

I think the closing rallies echoed the debate Johnny2X2X Nov 5 #51

You might be right Jason1961 Nov 5 #56

Confident enough Tweedy Nov 5 #52

Not very confident. J_William_Ryan Nov 5 #53

For those of you who haven't yet heard of PoindexterOglethorpe Nov 5 #55

Confident but... ravjav Nov 5 #57

Google: Kamala Harris Predicted to Win By Nearly Every Major Forecaster Emile Nov 5 #60

I was right at 25-50% exboyfil Nov 6 #61

This didn't age well. nt Javaman Nov 6 #62

No and I was one of the bullish ones jfz9580m Nov 6 #63