General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: So if the Democrats lose the senate. [View all]Motown_Johnny
(22,308 posts)What if we are hit by an asteroid?
What if a new Spanish Flu outbreak wreaks havoc around the world?
What if this, that or the other.
The undeniable fact on this subject is the change in demographics.
Here is a link to an old post of mine that also quotes and links to an article from 2010. I still believe this to be an accurate prediction of what we can expect to see play out.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1002975365
^snip^
The increase in the nonwhite share of the electorate over the next decade will have major consequences for electoral competition. If the Democratic Party is able to maintain anything close to the overwhelming advantage among nonwhite voters that it enjoyed in 2008, Republican candidates will need to win a considerably larger share of the white vote than their partys candidates did in 2008 or even 2004 in order to remain competitive in national elections. Under these circumstances, even a 60 percent share of the white vote would not be enough to give a Republican candidate a majority of the popular vote and the last Republican presidential candidate to win more than 60 percent of the white vote was Ronald Reagan in 1984.