I'll Just Say It Now -- Hillary Can't Win

[0rganism]

23. we'll have to wait and see

First, there's a year and a half of Republican congressional "activities" that will greatly color the public outlook, one way or another.

Towards the end of that, we get half a year of primaries -- if HRC wants the nomination, she'll have to make a better case to liberals than she did in 2007-2008.

Then we get to the general election campaign. i think the effectiveness of the Koch and Koch-wannabe ad money will be somewhat tempered by the congressional stupidity we're about to experience, but that remains to be seen. Regardless, she or any Democratic candidate will have to weather a storm of PR bullshit the likes of which have never been seen before. i have my doubts about HRC's ability to stand firm in the face of that storm, but we'll have to wait to find out. Perhaps, if she wins the primary, some of the liberal positions to which she'll have paid lip-service will have rubbed off on her enough that she can use them to lead and win the election in Style.

More likely, as you say, it'll be a squeaker with little in the way of coat-tails, but i don't know that it would be better for anyone else.