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Man from Pickens

(1,713 posts)

5. Who would vote for him?

Mon Jun 15, 2015, 07:46 PM

Jun 2015

I don't see any path through the primaries for him to get a nomination. Didn't the Cantor upset prove that you can outspend your opponent 100:1 and still lose?

The formula to get a nomination is big bucks + a significant mass of voters. There are too many competitors for Bush's angle - Rubio in particular will wreck his chances, but he's not the only one.

And any candidate who has near-100% name recognition and is underwater in approval is in trouble from the get-go. There are no new voters to reach and convincing someone who distrusts a candidate to change his mind is no easy task, and this one is in no position to make any good arguments that might change minds.

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How much of a threat is Jeb Bush? [View all] ellisonz Jun 2015 OP

He's got unlimited funds, his daddy was Prez and head of CIA (killed JFK), his brother was Prez NightWatcher Jun 2015 #1

And we need to get rid of electronic voting machines b4 election. southerncrone Jun 2015 #28

Won't help him. The GOP electorate hates him. nt stevenleser Jun 2015 #38

I want to vote "Green", Art_from_Ark Jun 2015 #2

I've landed on orange. ellisonz Jun 2015 #4

Never thought America would elect "W" so Jeb & his hawk advisers concern me a bit.... /nt think Jun 2015 #3

Who would vote for him? Man from Pickens Jun 2015 #5

Traditional Republicans and Independents ellisonz Jun 2015 #10

I don't find that credible Man from Pickens Jun 2015 #20

It's early. The race is still forming. Polls change. ellisonz Jun 2015 #21

this is where the 100% name recognition comes into play Man from Pickens Jun 2015 #22

There's a lot of money betting against that conclusion. ellisonz Jun 2015 #24

Early on I thought he was a threat... HereSince1628 Jun 2015 #6

He's from the cheater family. I would expect the same outta Jethro. lonestarnot Jun 2015 #7

I don't know but we should not ever forget how his war criminal brother managed to "win" twice. Jefferson23 Jun 2015 #8

Green - he's Hillary's only real chance to the presidency. Exilednight Jun 2015 #9

Really? On the Road Jun 2015 #30

He was the governor of a state that chose the winner, not elected one. Exilednight Jun 2015 #34

whoever opposes him should address him as 'george' and nothing else. spanone Jun 2015 #11

Jeb® 2016 = Dole 1996. Party elder put up for sacrifice. onehandle Jun 2015 #12

Dole was running against an incumbent Art_from_Ark Jun 2015 #13

Oh noes! My preposition falls apart! onehandle Jun 2015 #16

Since 1924, ten incumbent Presidents have been reelected Art_from_Ark Jun 2015 #18

Never underestimate the stupidity of the American electorate.* MH1 Jun 2015 #14

Exactly. BillZBubb Jun 2015 #26

Not a snowball's chance in hell of either winning his party's nomination OR the Presidency. n/t cherokeeprogressive Jun 2015 #15

Severe. People will buy his "Not my brother" campaign without question. Oneironaut Jun 2015 #17

He's unpopular among the RW base, Jamaal510 Jun 2015 #19

He can't beat Rand Paul, much less anyone our side puts up. ileus Jun 2015 #23

Rand Paul appeals to a very limited set of voters. n/t ellisonz Jun 2015 #25

He'll have the M$M behind him. RandySF Jun 2015 #27

Yellow. TexasTowelie Jun 2015 #29

I would say no chance... Mike Nelson Jun 2015 #31

Call you say: 99Forever Jun 2015 #32

Orange. hay rick Jun 2015 #33

His odds are somewhere between slim and none. lpbk2713 Jun 2015 #35

I vote Blue and here is my reasoning: Initech Jun 2015 #36

Low risk. He's a bumbling clown. ZX86 Jun 2015 #37

He would make a formidable candidate, but can he even get nominates CajunBlazer Jun 2015 #39

kick for.more voting Liberal_in_LA Jun 2015 #40

If it's Bush v. Clinton, I suspect Bush will win in a very low turnout election Dems to Win Jun 2015 #41

... ellisonz Jun 2015 #42

If the Bush who started the Iraq war can be elected a little over a year later, Nye Bevan Jun 2015 #43

Well, the Bush family Spirochete Jun 2015 #44

Anyone feeling differently threatened? ellisonz Sep 2015 #45