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CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)
39. He would make a formidable candidate, but can he even get nominates
Mon Jun 15, 2015, 11:44 PM
Jun 2015

Jeb is doing something unique in Republican politics; he is not pandering to the far right base of the GOP on issues like immigration and Common Core which will should make him more palatable to independents and Hispanics should he win the Republican nomination. The downfall of recent Republican Presidential nominees is that they bent over so far backwards to get the vote of the Tea Party zealots they became virtually unelectable in the general election. However, the question is, can any candidate alienate the far right Republican base and still gain the nomination especially in this election's packed field.

However, as pointed by the other posters he has the backing of the establishment wing of the Republican Party and he consequently has far more money to spend than any other Republican candidate. In past Republican Presidential nomination processes it was the far right base that made the the most noise, but it was the establishment candidate who won the nomination. However, in the past the establishment candidate at least paid lip service to the Tea Party types so this is a whole new ball game.

As for the Bush name, as I wrote in a recent blog entry on cajunscomments.com, "The Bush Name – A Great Asset and a Great Liability", his family associations is both a blessing and a curse. Does anyone believe that Jeb would have been elected Governor of Florida without his dad's name and connection? I doubt it. However, even many Republicans believe that George W's eight years were a disaster and anything that reminds of that era are not welcome. Jeb's recent inability to make a clean break from W's foreign policy blunders hasn't helped his cause.

Frankly I think that Jeb would be among the strongest competitors and I think many Republicans believe that as well even though they would rather someone who is more ideologically pure. I would personally rather that the Republicans nominate an Ideologically pure candidate (someone easy to beat) so I am hope Jeb and perhaps one are two of the others don't break out of the pack and remain in the running when it becomes a two or three candidate race for the nomination. Then electability will become a much bigger consideration among Republican voters and Jeb could rise to the top.

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He's got unlimited funds, his daddy was Prez and head of CIA (killed JFK), his brother was Prez NightWatcher Jun 2015 #1
And we need to get rid of electronic voting machines b4 election. southerncrone Jun 2015 #28
Won't help him. The GOP electorate hates him. nt stevenleser Jun 2015 #38
I want to vote "Green", Art_from_Ark Jun 2015 #2
I've landed on orange. ellisonz Jun 2015 #4
Never thought America would elect "W" so Jeb & his hawk advisers concern me a bit.... /nt think Jun 2015 #3
Who would vote for him? Man from Pickens Jun 2015 #5
Traditional Republicans and Independents ellisonz Jun 2015 #10
I don't find that credible Man from Pickens Jun 2015 #20
It's early. The race is still forming. Polls change. ellisonz Jun 2015 #21
this is where the 100% name recognition comes into play Man from Pickens Jun 2015 #22
There's a lot of money betting against that conclusion. ellisonz Jun 2015 #24
Early on I thought he was a threat... HereSince1628 Jun 2015 #6
He's from the cheater family. I would expect the same outta Jethro. lonestarnot Jun 2015 #7
I don't know but we should not ever forget how his war criminal brother managed to "win" twice. Jefferson23 Jun 2015 #8
Green - he's Hillary's only real chance to the presidency. Exilednight Jun 2015 #9
Really? On the Road Jun 2015 #30
He was the governor of a state that chose the winner, not elected one. Exilednight Jun 2015 #34
whoever opposes him should address him as 'george' and nothing else. spanone Jun 2015 #11
JebŪ 2016 = Dole 1996. Party elder put up for sacrifice. onehandle Jun 2015 #12
Dole was running against an incumbent Art_from_Ark Jun 2015 #13
Oh noes! My preposition falls apart! onehandle Jun 2015 #16
Since 1924, ten incumbent Presidents have been reelected Art_from_Ark Jun 2015 #18
Never underestimate the stupidity of the American electorate.* MH1 Jun 2015 #14
Exactly. BillZBubb Jun 2015 #26
Not a snowball's chance in hell of either winning his party's nomination OR the Presidency. n/t cherokeeprogressive Jun 2015 #15
Severe. People will buy his "Not my brother" campaign without question. Oneironaut Jun 2015 #17
He's unpopular among the RW base, Jamaal510 Jun 2015 #19
He can't beat Rand Paul, much less anyone our side puts up. ileus Jun 2015 #23
Rand Paul appeals to a very limited set of voters. n/t ellisonz Jun 2015 #25
He'll have the M$M behind him. RandySF Jun 2015 #27
Yellow. TexasTowelie Jun 2015 #29
I would say no chance... Mike Nelson Jun 2015 #31
Call you say: 99Forever Jun 2015 #32
Orange. hay rick Jun 2015 #33
His odds are somewhere between slim and none. lpbk2713 Jun 2015 #35
I vote Blue and here is my reasoning: Initech Jun 2015 #36
Low risk. He's a bumbling clown. ZX86 Jun 2015 #37
He would make a formidable candidate, but can he even get nominates CajunBlazer Jun 2015 #39
kick for.more voting Liberal_in_LA Jun 2015 #40
If it's Bush v. Clinton, I suspect Bush will win in a very low turnout election Dems to Win Jun 2015 #41
... ellisonz Jun 2015 #42
If the Bush who started the Iraq war can be elected a little over a year later, Nye Bevan Jun 2015 #43
Well, the Bush family Spirochete Jun 2015 #44
Anyone feeling differently threatened? ellisonz Sep 2015 #45
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