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In reply to the discussion: Shit. Jeb beats Hillary in a match up of all voters [View all]RandiFan1290
(6,229 posts)82. Cool story, bro
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Not what Hillary supporters have been tellin us about the polls for months now, i.e., how Hillary beats all comers.
InAbLuEsTaTe
Jul 2015
#30
and not what Bernie supporters have been telling us either, because bush wins by 5 points over
still_one
Jul 2015
#35
I don't think we will though. The problem is I think this poll is using the model that assumes
still_one
Jul 2015
#46
That is a CNN Poll NOT the quinnipiac poll, which is what this thread is about. You are clever to
still_one
Jul 2015
#69
I think the latest poll, which is the quinnipac poll is an outlier. Both Hillary and Bernie lose in
still_one
Jul 2015
#79
Yes, there is NO way a real poll where repubs arent oversampled does Hillary
AllFieldsRequired
Jul 2015
#126
Independents are what have been determining elections. Most republicans do not vote for Democrats,
still_one
Jul 2015
#71
You don't think independents are significant? They make or break elections. The stats you quote
still_one
Jul 2015
#77
All but 10% of "independents" consistently vote along party lines to almost the same degree
seaglass
Jul 2015
#97
OK, I will take yours and VanillaRhapsody's assessment that most independents are not truly independents. However,
still_one
Jul 2015
#111
THAT IS NOT THE LATEST POLL, That is from July 26, 2010. The poll in THIS THREAD is from July 30th
still_one
Jul 2015
#78
Q seems to be the only poll with the Republicans at any kind of advantage for next year's race.
Proud Liberal Dem
Jul 2015
#87
They polled 681 Dems and 710 Rethugs and even then got a result well within the margin of error. n/t
pnwmom
Jul 2015
#21
Really.. thanks for that, 1StrongBlackMan. And, is Quinnipiac even one of those trusted
Cha
Jul 2015
#55
it's silly to pretend it's "flawed" only when it gives you what you don't want to hear...
Scootaloo
Jul 2015
#118
Actually you should. it's a good way to maintain sanity during primary season.
Scootaloo
Jul 2015
#125
Per 1 person's statement? hahahahaha, don't make me laugh. We are months away from Election day
trueblue2007
Jul 2015
#4
Then they are using the same model they used in 2012, assuming that more republican will show up
still_one
Jul 2015
#27
Couple that with the under-representation of, both, Affrican-American and Hispanic voters ...
1StrongBlackMan
Jul 2015
#109
Ugh...thanks for being an actual responder vs. the same ole same ole - "it's too
Laura PourMeADrink
Jul 2015
#39
Canada is about to have a national election. The campaign season will be an astonishing 10 weeks long
Fred Sanders
Jul 2015
#7
Money can't turn an election campaign that's three months long, Long enough to get excited.
Monk06
Jul 2015
#65
Actually considering only a 1 point difference with an over sampling of republicans bodes quite well
still_one
Jul 2015
#38
Protip: Corporate Dems usually wait until their corporate candidate loses to blame the left.
Marr
Jul 2015
#22
Obama withstood Hillary tag-team hammering him with John McCain 3 months after
AtomicKitten
Jul 2015
#28
Well...can not help, for sure. She's got no enthusiasm behind her. nt
Laura PourMeADrink
Jul 2015
#40
The poll over sampled republicans. What is significant, even with that there is only a 1 point gap
still_one
Jul 2015
#45
Oh, yes. The "extreme left" -- those who don't like Repub-lite. How dare they!
Arugula Latte
Jul 2015
#48
This poll sampled 681 Democrats and 710 Rethugs. So, surprise, surprise, they favored Bush.
pnwmom
Jul 2015
#16
Fortunately, most DUers aren't that gullible. They know how to dig into the fine print.
pnwmom
Jul 2015
#72
that's called a statistical tie, its MoE. Benie actually loses outside the MoE
ericson00
Jul 2015
#18
And they included more Rethugs than Dems in their poll. So naturally it tilted toward Bush. n/t
pnwmom
Jul 2015
#20
I think it is so true here - and on the other side as well - that whenever a poll
Laura PourMeADrink
Jul 2015
#100
point taken ! Probably should have qualified with "close" or "neck in neck". I totally
Laura PourMeADrink
Jul 2015
#116
Yes. I think we continue to have a very close split between the parties and we'll have to
pnwmom
Jul 2015
#122
People who have been basing their entire political outlook on polls already for two years or more
TheKentuckian
Jul 2015
#85
Fortunately the Republican electorate mostly hates him, particularly the far right wing of the GOP.
stevenleser
Jul 2015
#112
Given the irresponsible nature of our media and the confused, anxious state of our citizenry,
MBS
Jul 2015
#131
But it's not even true. Even though the polled more Rethugs than Dems -- which no one
pnwmom
Aug 2015
#147
You are absolutely right. We will have to fight as hard as we can for a huge turnout
pnwmom
Aug 2015
#151