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karynnj

(59,501 posts)
61. My opinion, Barak probably, Bill Clinton unlikely
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 10:28 AM
Aug 2017

His win in 1992, which should have been like 2008, was pretty narrow. Also, time matters in terms of issues. Bill Clinton absolutely would have lost 2004. I am assuming he had continued as Governor of Arkansas. He had no military or foreign policy experience in a year when national security, war and foreign policy were big issues.

The Republicans saw Kerry enough of a threat that they attacked his genuine status as a war hero with lies -- rather than simply attacking his honorable protests. Kerry also blew out the first debate on foreign policy, having been a strong member of the SFRC for almost 20 years. (After the election, the Republican chair Lugar praised him for that debate.) Kerry over preformed all the models that suggested a very big win for Bush. In fact, had Ohio had enough voting machines, he would have pulled out one of the largest upsets.

Hillary people correctly list all that was against her, however, the media tacitly backed GWB, likely thinking he would win and afraid of being excluded from interviews -- knowing that Kerry would never retaliate in that manner if he won. In addition, the Catholic church everywhere except NE made abortion the issue, and the evangelical churches made gay rights and abortion the issue. Note that it was already known that at least one right leaning SCJ would be replaced and had Kerry won, the SC would have tilted to the left. (I actually think that this was again an issue in 2016 - 2008 and 2012 were notthe same as the likely SCJ to leave were not on the right.)

As to boring, I suspect the reason that the media gave far less attention to Kerry's biography is that it is almost too full. Note the media tried to paint him as the second coming of Al Gore - even calling him wooden. Had the media treated him and Teresa as they did Bill and Hillary in 1992, no one would now be calling him boring. Even 12 year old Kerry, taking his passport and biking into East Berlin, was an interesting person.

To give you an idea how poorly they covered the accomplishments of the wonderful Teresa, I learned big things that she led on in Pittsburgh only when Pittsburgh was chosen in 2009 to be the site of the G7 (or G20) meeting. In the 1990s when Pittsbirgh was incredibly depressed, Teresa called the other Pittsburgh area philantophists and led them in an effort to revitalize the city by an enormous coordinated effort to build green public buildings and facilities. It led to the former steel town being one of the greenest towns in the US and simultaneously was a "stimulus package" for Pittsburgh. It was for things like this that GHWB named Teresa as an NGO member of the US delegation to the Rio conference -- where she and John Kerry, who she had met when John Heinz and Kerry led the Senate earth day effort in 1990, really had a chance to talk.

I was very active on DU JK and had read everything I could find in 2004 and afterward and other than having been told by a Pittsburgh native that there much not reported that should have been I absolutely did not know that she was the key person in revitalyzing a city. I know that in 1992, Hillary was attacked for not wanting to be a Barabra (or Laura) Bush, but if anything that emphasized her accomplishments and intelligence. It completely bothers me that Teresa, unlike John Kerry, never had any visibility that would have allowed her to be seen for the wonderful person she is. Here, I think I know the reason. In Northwest NJ, where I lived, one of the best people convincing people in the general election was a former PA Republican, who unhappy with Bush, had looked at the Democratic primary. The FIRST thing that impressed her about Kerry, was that Teresa thought enough of him to marry him. Had Teresa been seen as the good, brilliant woman she is, for some she would have validated Kerry.

Disappointing. Control-Z Aug 2017 #1
Why? Isn't that the point of primaries? white_wolf Sep 2017 #64
Sure. She was my first choice, and then I was super fortunate to have Hortensis Sep 2017 #65
Of course. That's what honorable and responsible citizens did. Hortensis Aug 2017 #2
what matters is not first. second or third choice DonCoquixote Aug 2017 #3
She was my first choice. cwydro Aug 2017 #4
She WAS my First Choice, in the Primary and the General Doug the Dem Aug 2017 #5
Purity - ain't that a kicker for Dems? nadine_mn Aug 2017 #7
+1 betsuni Aug 2017 #10
this has become the biggest issue w/the left in general, radius777 Aug 2017 #25
how many sanders supporters really voted for trump or abstained? clu Aug 2017 #41
As much as I despise liquid diamond Aug 2017 #53
I didn't care either way. Drahthaardogs Sep 2017 #66
Kerry was not my first choice, murielm99 Aug 2017 #6
My thoughts exactly. SunSeeker Aug 2017 #8
+1 betsuni Aug 2017 #11
Maybe fallout87 Aug 2017 #21
Ding ding ding ding LiberalLovinLug Aug 2017 #27
So they knock Hillary out of spite? SunSeeker Aug 2017 #32
Voting For Her Is Knocking? ProfessorGAC Aug 2017 #40
No, voting isn't knocking. Qualifying every compliment is knocking. SunSeeker Aug 2017 #60
Many many Dean people were less kind karynnj Aug 2017 #14
You are correct about that. murielm99 Aug 2017 #16
Excellent post, muriel. brer cat Aug 2017 #17
Middle schoolers are more mature and less cliquey. Ninsianna Sep 2017 #63
Bill was simply echoing the consensus radius777 Aug 2017 #20
Kerry actually ran a far better campaign than Bill Clinton did karynnj Aug 2017 #36
I agree that Kerry ran a better campaign than Gore or Hillary, radius777 Aug 2017 #39
I agree Bill is and was charismatic, but his campaign was chaotic karynnj Aug 2017 #52
I think Bill or Barack could've beaten almost anyone/anytime radius777 Aug 2017 #58
My opinion, Barak probably, Bill Clinton unlikely karynnj Aug 2017 #61
+1 lunamagica Aug 2017 #33
Perfection was required in 2016 for the first time in American politics. Eliot Rosewater Aug 2017 #57
She was and still is the only choice. democratisphere Aug 2017 #9
you voted for her.... but you didn't BELIEVE! Warren DeMontague Aug 2017 #12
A bird didn't perch on her podium. betsuni Aug 2017 #13
Nah, that was just luck. Warren DeMontague Aug 2017 #15
Remember when the crazy wing nuts lapucelle Aug 2017 #56
I have to agree with the OP ProudLib72 Aug 2017 #18
She was my first choice. In the end, this was the FBI's election. Comey dominated it from StevieM Aug 2017 #19
Same here fallout87 Aug 2017 #22
I preferred Sanders over Clinton. Willie Pep Aug 2017 #23
HRC was my first choice in 2016. Expecting Rain Aug 2017 #24
With everything going on, why did you feel the need to ecstatic Aug 2017 #26
Excellent questions. Excellent observations. NurseJackie Aug 2017 #46
Let's see, my 50 voting years divided by 4 equals 12 candidates, several not my first choice UTUSN Aug 2017 #28
Sounds like Oprah Winfrey mode Awsi Dooger Aug 2017 #29
I think Oprah was actually making the same case you did karynnj Aug 2017 #37
You're ok. I'd like to hear an explanation (and apology)from Cornel West. oasis Aug 2017 #30
wtf is listening to that guy? clu Aug 2017 #42
Democratic party leadership should never trust him again. nt oasis Aug 2017 #44
Great candidate! Cracklin Charlie Aug 2017 #31
She was my first choice too! lunamagica Aug 2017 #34
I can respect Jamaal510 Aug 2017 #35
Sick and tired Justice Aug 2017 #38
In the next Presidential election get the red out Aug 2017 #43
Jesus! WTF!? Not your "first choice", huh? NurseJackie Aug 2017 #45
Yes. Not their first choice. WHAT OF IT?? HughBeaumont Aug 2017 #47
LOL! NurseJackie Aug 2017 #48
Predictable as time and tide. HughBeaumont Aug 2017 #49
What are you trying to say? NurseJackie Aug 2017 #50
What a different country it would be today if Hillary were president. n/t RKP5637 Aug 2017 #51
Yeah???? Not you first choice? heaven05 Aug 2017 #54
And Your Point? Me. Aug 2017 #55
Just WTH was your purpose in writing your first (almost) clause? To agitate? WinkyDink Aug 2017 #59
I probably worded that poorly. Kath2 Sep 2017 #62
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