Roy Moore will be elected Senator [View all]

That’s my prediction based on Trump’s 59% approval rating there. http://www.al.com/news/index.ssf/2017/10/trumps_approval_rating_down_in.html

The allegations won’t affect the majority of voters’ views there. Only 8% of Trump voters believe any of the allegations against him (Source: Ari Melber). The allegations against Moore will be dismissed as fake news and a Democratic conspiracy. There is NOTHING a Republican could do to convince white Alabamans to vote Dem, and they control the electoral system that enables the rest to vote, or not.

I do think Democratic electoral prospects are improving, but a full-scale change in the political culture of the Deep South is a bridge too far.

I hope I’m wrong. I want Dems to do everything possible to win, but we should not overestimate the impact of these disclosures. Grab ‘em by the pussy won the presidency. Women’s lives aren’t seen as valuable enough to keep a man from political office.