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In reply to the discussion: Hillary Clinton Won 6 Out of 6 Coin Tosses Last Night. [View all]dreamnightwind
(4,775 posts)and I did read your post.
They're independent events, so all that matters is each individual event's outcome probability. The question is what is the likelihood of a particular set of outcomes (in this case the set of outcomes is Hillary winning every flip). That probability is the product of each event's individual probability. It makes no difference where they were, what methodology was used in the flip, who flippped them, all that matters is the probability of each event. Pretty basic and obvious. I would have not made this point, but you made it, incorrectly, so I chimed in.
And I know about data modeling, I'm a longtime programmer who has worked with and developed data models (environmental data from a coastal observation station). This is not a data modeling problem, it is a straight probability problem.
This whole thing is silly anyway, I don't think there's anything to the coin flip CT, so as far as I'm concerned it is nothing but a sidetrack.