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BumRushDaShow

(128,731 posts)
Mon Sep 10, 2018, 11:03 AM Sep 2018

UPDATED: Hurricane Florence rapidly intensifies to Category 4, evacuation orders begin in N.C. [View all]

Source: Washington Post

Hurricane Florence is rapidly intensifying on its path toward the East Coast and is now a Category 4 with 130 mph winds, the National Hurricane Center said in a special update. Florence is expected to strengthen to 150 mph just prior to landfall somewhere on the Southeast or Mid-Atlantic Coast on Thursday night.

Computer model forecasts generally project the storm to make landfall between northern South Carolina and the North Carolina Outer Banks, although shifts in the track are still possible and storm impacts will expand great distances beyond where landfall occurs. Given the uncertainty and the time it takes to evacuate, officials in North Carolina have issued mandatory evacuation orders for Dare County and Hatteras Island.

With each passing flight into the eye of the storm and every new computer model forecast, it has become increasingly unlikely Florence will turn out to sea and spare the Eastern Seaboard from potentially devastating storm surge, flooding and wind. There’s even some indication the hurricane will slow or stall out over the Mid-Atlantic later this week, which could lead to a disastrous amount of rain.

Read more: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2018/09/09/florence-strengthens-to-hurricane-and-poses-extreme-threat-to-southeast-and-mid-atlantic/?utm_term=.7f5f72b57840&wpisrc=al_news__alert-national&wpmk=1



NOW UPDATED.

Original title/article -

Hurricane Florence strengthens to Category 3, evacuation orders begin in N.C.

Hurricane Florence is rapidly intensifying on its path toward the East Coast and is now a Category 3 with 115 mph winds, the National Hurricane Center said in its 11 a.m. update. Florence is expected to become a strong Category 4 hurricane -- nearly a Category 5 -- just prior to landfall somewhere on the Southeast or Mid-Atlantic Coast on Thursday night.

Computer model forecasts generally project the storm to make landfall between northern South Carolina and the North Carolina Outer Banks, although shifts in the track are still possible and storm impacts will expand great distances beyond where landfall occurs. Given the uncertainty and the time it takes to evacuate, officials in North Carolina have issued mandatory evacuation orders for Dare County and Hatteras Island.

With each passing flight into the eye of the storm and every new computer model forecast, it has become increasingly unlikely Florence will turn out to sea and spare the Eastern Seaboard from potentially devastating storm surge, flooding and wind. There's even some indication the hurricane will slow or stall out over the Mid-Atlantic later this week, which could lead to a disastrous amount of rain.

"There is an increasing risk of life-threatening impacts from Florence: Storm surge at the coast, freshwater flooding from a prolonged and exceptionally heavy rainfall event inland and damaging hurricane-force winds," the National Hurricane Center wrote Monday. Storm surge is the rise in ocean water above normally dry land at the coast, which can inundate homes, roads and businesses.


I was literally just on the NHC webpage looking at the latest update and the path has stayed pretty steady headed towards the Carolinas. There is still more bath water for it to go through to strengthen on its way.

And here is a scary tweet from the article -



TEXT

Bob Henson

@bhensonweather

If the latest NHC forecast comes to pass, #Florence will be the only hurricane on record to make a Cat 4 U.S. landfall so far north. The dramatic slowing on Friday, and the implied risk of extreme rainfall, is the other very concerning detail on this map. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov
11:12 PM - Sep 9, 2018
49 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Looks like a wallop-e-roo bucolic_frolic Sep 2018 #1
When Harvey sat over Texas and stalled last summer BumRushDaShow Sep 2018 #2
Where is FEMA? getagrip_already Sep 2018 #3
They usually have some sort of Field Office/Remote office in every state BumRushDaShow Sep 2018 #4
Gov Cooper of N.C. is a Dem unc70 Sep 2018 #5
Trump and the Republicans will have a Democrat to blame if crisis support gets botched. Yavin4 Sep 2018 #30
"We're closely monitoring the progress of Hurricane Florence" steve2470 Sep 2018 #11
FEMA started working the storm late last week FBaggins Sep 2018 #14
I'm thinking back to past storms.... getagrip_already Sep 2018 #15
There have been threads in GD where someone mentioned BumRushDaShow Sep 2018 #19
FEMA will be here in force SCantiGOP Sep 2018 #21
were they in fl in force? getagrip_already Sep 2018 #25
My comment was snarky SCantiGOP Sep 2018 #41
the hype can be sickening... but..... getagrip_already Sep 2018 #45
Even for us in DE, they're saying 5-10" of rain from this if it doesn't move woodsprite Sep 2018 #6
Yeah, the far southern part of our CWA BumRushDaShow Sep 2018 #10
Just now upgraded to CAT 4! PearliePoo2 Sep 2018 #7
Yup - just saw the WaPo update. BumRushDaShow Sep 2018 #8
I'm not worried...after the storm has cleared... Dopers_Greed Sep 2018 #9
Was just thinking about that. Jedi Guy Sep 2018 #12
As long as he doesn't have a golf course there BumRushDaShow Sep 2018 #13
"Cryin' won't help you; prayin' won't do you no good." mahatmakanejeeves Sep 2018 #16
i'll see your levee and raise you one... Hermit-The-Prog Sep 2018 #20
It's the not gays or abortion what wrought this. It's GOP gerrymandering Roland99 Sep 2018 #17
Is God Smiting the Carolina's for being RED! Cryptoad Sep 2018 #18
he or she did a good job smiting another red state, MI, last 2 weeks of Aug. elmac Sep 2018 #22
My older brother is vacationing in Myrtle Beach ..... kwassa Sep 2018 #23
I was just on some of their FB pages woodsprite Sep 2018 #24
I would never go back without vacation insurance. kwassa Sep 2018 #32
Pawley's Island FromMissouri Sep 2018 #34
I've seen a cottage smashed by the ocean. kwassa Sep 2018 #46
As seen from the Space Station. Scurrilous Sep 2018 #26
Entire South Carolina coastline has been ordered evacuated. B2G Sep 2018 #27
The models haven't shown it landfalling down that far BumRushDaShow Sep 2018 #28
The EPS ensemble does. B2G Sep 2018 #29
The 12Z GEFS has the ensemble mean way north on the NC/VA line! BumRushDaShow Sep 2018 #31
Check out Storm2k. B2G Sep 2018 #33
Have been there but post on AmericanWX BumRushDaShow Sep 2018 #35
Will check it out! Nt B2G Sep 2018 #36
They have regional forums too to discuss local weather. BumRushDaShow Sep 2018 #38
Onslow County NC Cold War Spook Sep 2018 #37
Wow. They need to do that coast-wide BumRushDaShow Sep 2018 #39
So has Horry county SC. Throckmorton Sep 2018 #44
Looks like it's going to be a Cat 5. joshcryer Sep 2018 #40
Yikes. LisaL Sep 2018 #42
Never trust the forecasters 100%. Looks like a dip likely to occur now Baclava Sep 2018 #47
Good luck Carolinas DUers. a la izquierda Sep 2018 #43
Now down to a weak Cat 2 with 100 mph winds OnlinePoker Sep 2018 #48
What has happened though BumRushDaShow Sep 2018 #49
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