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In reply to the discussion: 'We blew it': U.S. reaches 'explosive' COVID-19 spread as virus is nearly impossible to control [View all]BumRushDaShow
(128,844 posts)Most researchers, including epidemiologists and immunologists have found that "immunity" (the presence of sufficient antibodies) only lasts about 3 - 4 months. So "immunity" via infecting the hell out of a populace to supposedly promote "herd immunity", is useless and a potential death sentence for certain populations. And notably because there are a number of variants of COVID-19 out there with one version that is supposedly a predominate one in circulation at the moment (so far 70% of the infections detected) being more contagious but less lethal than one of the earlier variants that was far more lethal (e.g., the one that hit Italy early on).
So per the below, the early variant that devastated NY was a "D" variant and then a new one that they call "G" started elsewhere and has been spreading like wildfire -
By Sarah Kaplan and Joel Achenbach
July 2
When the first coronavirus cases in Chicago appeared in January, they bore the same genetic signatures as a germ that emerged in China weeks before. But as Egon Ozer, an infectious-disease specialist at the Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, examined the genetic structure of virus samples from local patients, he noticed something different. A change in the virus was appearing again and again. This mutation, associated with outbreaks in Europe and New York, eventually took over the city. By May, it was found in 95 percent of all the genomes Ozer sequenced.
At a glance, the mutation seemed trivial. About 1,300 amino acids serve as building blocks for a protein on the surface of the virus. In the mutant virus, the genetic instructions for just one of those amino acids number 614 switched in the new variant from a D (shorthand for aspartic acid) to a G (short for glycine). But the location was significant, because the switch occurred in the part of the genome that codes for the all-important spike protein the protruding structure that gives the coronavirus its crownlike profile and allows it to enter human cells the way a burglar picks a lock.
And its ubiquity is undeniable. Of the approximately 50,000 genomes of the new virus that researchers worldwide have uploaded to a shared database, about 70 percent carry the mutation, officially designated D614G but known more familiarly to scientists as G. G hasnt just dominated the outbreak in Chicago it has taken over the world. Now scientists are racing to figure out what it means.
At least five laboratory experiments suggest that the mutation makes the virus more infectious, although only one of those studies has been peer-reviewed. That study, led by scientists at Los Alamos National Laboratory and published Thursday in the journal Cell, also asserts that patients with the G variant actually have more virus in their bodies, making them more likely to spread it to others.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/science/2020/06/29/coronavirus-mutation-science/?arc404=true