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Showing Original Post only (View all)Reaching 'Herd Immunity' Is Unlikely in the U.S., Experts Now Believe [View all]
Source: New York Times
Early in the pandemic, when vaccines for the coronavirus were still just a glimmer on the horizon, the term herd immunity came to signify the endgame: the point when enough Americans would be protected from the virus so we could be rid of the pathogen and reclaim our lives.
Now, more than half of adults in the United States have been inoculated with at least one dose of a vaccine. But daily vaccination rates are slipping, and there is widespread consensus among scientists and public health experts that the herd immunity threshold is not attainable at least not in the foreseeable future, and perhaps not ever.
Instead, they are coming to the conclusion that rather than making a long-promised exit, the virus will most likely become a manageable threat that will continue to circulate in the United States for years to come, still causing hospitalizations and deaths but in much smaller numbers.
How much smaller is uncertain and depends in part on how much of the nation, and the world, becomes vaccinated and how the coronavirus evolves. It is already clear, however, that the virus is changing too quickly, new variants are spreading too easily and vaccination is proceeding too slowly for herd immunity to be within reach anytime soon.
Now, more than half of adults in the United States have been inoculated with at least one dose of a vaccine. But daily vaccination rates are slipping, and there is widespread consensus among scientists and public health experts that the herd immunity threshold is not attainable at least not in the foreseeable future, and perhaps not ever.
Instead, they are coming to the conclusion that rather than making a long-promised exit, the virus will most likely become a manageable threat that will continue to circulate in the United States for years to come, still causing hospitalizations and deaths but in much smaller numbers.
How much smaller is uncertain and depends in part on how much of the nation, and the world, becomes vaccinated and how the coronavirus evolves. It is already clear, however, that the virus is changing too quickly, new variants are spreading too easily and vaccination is proceeding too slowly for herd immunity to be within reach anytime soon.
Read more: https://www.nytimes.com/2021/05/03/health/covid-heard-immunity-vaccine.html
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Reaching 'Herd Immunity' Is Unlikely in the U.S., Experts Now Believe [View all]
brooklynite
May 2021
OP
But, but, but, ... Dr Fauci does not recommend taking cyanide capsules instead of the vaccine.
Bernardo de La Paz
May 2021
#85
I find the ' let them die' line of thinking incredibly offensive, small minded and ignorant
SayitAintSo
May 2021
#53
It is not a question of wishing "death" on somebody, but the fact is those who refuse to get
JohnSJ
May 2021
#63
Yes, and I'm not wishing for them to die. But they are making their own selfish choice
Bernardo de La Paz
May 2021
#86
As variants come out, like the UK version that are more infectous, the percentage goes up. nt
NutmegYankee
May 2021
#10
Not a "flip-flop" - an estimate based upon the most current situation in an ever changing
NoMoreRepugs
May 2021
#19
If you Google "air pollution" and "covid mortality", you'll find over 7400 citations.
TheRickles
May 2021
#108
Yes, I know of two items in that category. Didn't know your posts were removed.
TheRickles
May 2021
#60
Exactly, my post was considered in the category of 'conspiracy theories' or "wacko ideas!"
HUAJIAO
May 2021
#62
I wonder what would happen if someone just posted a link to the journal article
TheRickles
May 2021
#66
Swazliland has "Mwsa-Tees" honoring their brutal "king" Mwsati III. China sells and people wear Mao
AZLD4Candidate
May 2021
#56
Will they let the person who wears this shirt have it on in the hospital as they hook him up ...
Botany
May 2021
#32
All thanks to anti masker, "it's just like the flu", anti science, "it will be gone by April",
Jetheels
May 2021
#28
Damn Republicans!! If they would step up we would not have to worry about our elderly
riversedge
May 2021
#31
The Earth in its present orbital position has about 1 billion life bearing years left.
roamer65
May 2021
#114
We need vaccine passports and to exclude/shun assholes who refuse to be vaccinated
LetMyPeopleVote
May 2021
#61
I Think We'll Reach Herd Immunity Levels Relatively Quickly in Most Traditional Democratic States
Stallion
May 2021
#71
Make vaccination mandatory, nobody asked me if wanted to be vaccinate in school.
henbuck
May 2021
#79
82.8% of Seniors and 56.3% Over 18 Have Received at Least 1 Shot of the Vaccine
Stallion
May 2021
#96