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Pholus

(4,062 posts)
4. Actually, the definition of "1" was changed to "Normal, routine discovery"
Fri Oct 18, 2013, 06:31 AM
Oct 2013

There have been many, many "1's" and every single one has been removed by monitoring. One has actually reached a "4" and then been reassigned to a "0" or a "1" depending on which orbit guy you talk to.

The complete description is "A routine discovery in which a pass near Earth is predicted that poses no unusual level of danger. Current calculations show the chance of collision is extremely unlikely with no cause for public attention or public concern. New telescopic observations very likely will lead to re-assignment to Level 0."

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Torino_Scale

I can't remember the number of times a Russian observatory has predicted doom. Look back to the press around the Chelyabinsk meteor in the first 24 hours. Kinda Fox News level hysteria.


Orbital parameters are difficult. longship Oct 2013 #1
a 1 in 63,000 chance rates it a 1? leftyohiolib Oct 2013 #2
1 seems to be the lowest danger rating. nt bemildred Oct 2013 #3
yea i read the other way - i saw that just after waking up before my morning pepsi leftyohiolib Oct 2013 #11
It's a better chance than winning the lottery Flying Squirrel Oct 2013 #7
Actually, the definition of "1" was changed to "Normal, routine discovery" Pholus Oct 2013 #4
Thanks, OBAMA! Ian David Oct 2013 #5
OMG.... CherokeeDem Oct 2013 #12
It was a photoshop cartoonesque ridicule. n/t cosmicone Oct 2013 #20
Coming from Fox News... CherokeeDem Oct 2013 #21
I hear you ... n/t cosmicone Oct 2013 #22
Thankfully it's a relatively small asteroid NickB79 Oct 2013 #6
I'd say the mass has a lot to do with the potential; greiner3 Oct 2013 #8
Was the one that smacked the Yucatan of iron? theHandpuppet Oct 2013 #9
Now you know there are a bunch of doomsday preppers out there... theHandpuppet Oct 2013 #10
Bring It On! But seriously, there are a lot more near misses that we never see... onehandle Oct 2013 #13
It's climate change and overpopulation we have to worry about. hunter Oct 2013 #14
True. By 2032 we will be having mass die-offs of animals, including humans. onehandle Oct 2013 #15
Excessive negativity is unhelpful, though. Both approaches Ghost Dog Oct 2013 #17
Like we don't have enough to worry about. n/t leftyladyfrommo Oct 2013 #16
Aw, crap. Kinda wanted to go out with a bang. freshwest Oct 2013 #18
Me too. In_The_Wind Oct 2013 #24
As the Great Alfred would say- packman Oct 2013 #19
Nowonder those folks are taking that one way trip to Mars. nt MzShellG Oct 2013 #23
2032? Can we get an exact time..I like to be prepared!!! Theyletmeeatcake2 Oct 2013 #25
I dont buy it. nt darkangel218 Oct 2013 #26
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