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mr_lebowski

(33,643 posts)

14. While you're at it can you confirm my 'hat-coin-driven' simulation

Reply to Shrek (Reply #13)

Thu Aug 8, 2019, 07:20 PM

Aug 2019

That suggests better odds of Config 2 than Config 1?

As I said, I don't believe that ratio is critical to the 'answer', but it affects how MUCH of an advantage is gained by choosing the other drawer of same box.

I'm seeing on the order of 2/5 vs 3/5 but only on 35 iterations (14 vs 21).

THinking it may be 1/3 vs 2/3 though. Be REALLY weird if it's 50/50.

Did a few more ... I'm at 16 vs 28 atm ...

TIA

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17 replies

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Highlight:

Mr. L's Probability 'Box' Quiz: (Answer revealed, DU gets a 100% on the quiz) [View all] mr_lebowski Aug 2019 OP

chance of a match are 2/5 for each of the remaining drawers rampartc Aug 2019 #1

It sure SEEMS that way, doesn't it? mr_lebowski Aug 2019 #3

Kick for the AM Crowd mr_lebowski Aug 2019 #2

As pointed out I fucked up the question and left a part out :) mr_lebowski Aug 2019 #4

Where did you ever say the boxes would be SS - SG - GG? Shrek Aug 2019 #5

Oh, shit, I left that part out? mr_lebowski Aug 2019 #6

Actually I believe I'm still correct on this, assuming boxes are filled randomly mr_lebowski Aug 2019 #7

PROPER EXPLANATION ... Still Drawer #4 mr_lebowski Aug 2019 #9

I corrected my answer at #9 mr_lebowski Aug 2019 #11

Give me a few minutes Shrek Aug 2019 #13

While you're at it can you confirm my 'hat-coin-driven' simulation mr_lebowski Aug 2019 #14

It didn't seem to make any difference Shrek Aug 2019 #15

HA, my hat trick worked. Thanks for doing that :) mr_lebowski Aug 2019 #16

Yep, I reached the same conclusion Shrek Aug 2019 #17

Doesn't matter, odds are the same sdfernando Aug 2019 #8

Edit: n/m I'z wrong mr_lebowski Aug 2019 #10

Are you M.C. Escher? Ptah Aug 2019 #12