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Response to FloridaBlues (Reply #4)

Mon Oct 29, 2018, 10:41 AM

5. Lopsided polls in Florida statewide races make no sense to begin with

 

I have no idea how anyone takes them seriously.

Republicans are incredibly well organized in Florida. I know people don't like to hear it but it happens to be the reality. Check out Marc Caputo's Political Playbook from today. Here are some excerpts:

https://www.politico.com/newsletters/florida-playbook/2018/10/29/26m-have-voted-what-the-electorate-looks-like-miami-man-maga-bomber-lock-him-up-puerto-rico-statehood-and-fla-335050

THE YOUNG PEOPLE WILL ... STAY HOME? Remember all that talk of how "the young people will win" and come out in force in Florida, especially after the Parkland massacre? So far, it's not happening. Voters between the ages of 18-29 are 17 percent of the registered voters in Florida but have only cast 5 percent of the ballots so far. They tend to vote more Democratic. Meanwhile, voters 65 and older are 18.4 percent of the electorate but have cast 51.4 percent of the ballots. And older voters tend to vote more Republican.

THE WHITES WILL ... VOTE HEAVILY In looking at votes by race, whites (who also tend to vote more Republican) are crushing it. Non-whites (who vote heavily Democratic) aren't. So far, white people have cast 72.7 percent of the pre-Election Day ballots, even though they're 63.3 percent of the registered Florida voters. African-Americans have cast just 10.4 percent of the ballots, but they're 13.3 percent of the registered Florida voters. Hispanics have cast just 11.7 percent of the ballots, but they're 16.5 percent of the electorate. The black turnout numbers should change after we get statewide numbers from Sunday, the first of two "Souls to the Polls" days for after-church voting. In Jacksonville's Duval County (a GOP-leaning county where a majority of Democrats are black), a strong early vote gave Democrats an edge of 493 votes over Republicans.

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OrlandoDem2 Oct 2018 OP
DonCoquixote Oct 2018 #1
Baitball Blogger Oct 2018 #2
Demovictory9 Oct 2018 #3
FloridaBlues Oct 2018 #4
LineLineNew Reply Lopsided polls in Florida statewide races make no sense to begin with
Awsi Dooger Oct 2018 #5
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