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muriel_volestrangler

(101,146 posts)
2. If I were a Tory Leaver, I'd take it, but then I'd have taken her Draft Agreement before
Mon Mar 11, 2019, 06:57 PM
Mar 2019

because the backstop doesn't have to happen - if their sacred Malthouse Compromise can work, then they can put it forward after March 29th as the solution which avoids a hard border. But I think they rejected the Draft because they don't themselves believe the Malthouse thing would actually work in practice, and they can't have that exposed when it would mean a customs union instead. So they're insisting on the alternative to Malthouse being 'no deal', because they're OK with that, don't care about a hard border, and want to be anti-EU above all.

Judging by some of the comments at the Guardian live page, she'll peel a few Tories off, but I'd guess not enough, if all the opposition parties vote against this. I think the Commons will then vote to refuse 'no deal', because none of the opposition want 'no deal', and neither do a significant number of Tory Remainers. And I suppose an "extend Article 50" vote will win on the same grounds. But what anyone can do with extra time, god knows (I think the EU would accept extra time, because it's the only way of avoiding 'no deal' after that).

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