Our latest Westminster voting intention has the Lib Dems in first place and the Brexit Party second

[mwooldri]

1. If this held to a General Election....

The Lib Dems would pick up an awful lot of seats from the Conservatives in the South and South East. In a lot of SE seats the Lib Dems typically ran 2nd place. Due to Westminsters First Past the Post system, the Tories would not have a wipeout but definitely would not have a majority. The present state of Labour would mean that they would not get a majority either. It would also depend on whether the Brexit Party properly contested a general election. If past history is an indicator of anything it is that incumbency really helps the Conservatives and Labour. UKIP never performed well at Westminster elections and my guess is that the Brexit Party may suffer a similar fate.

Were there to be a general election soon, the Lib Dems, the Greens and Change UK should form an electoral pact that the strongest candidate that could win that seat be supported and the other two parties either not field a candidate or file a paper candidate who is expected to lose their deposit.