Bercow refuses to allow 'meaningful vote' on Brexit deal today

[muriel_volestrangler]

10. I don't know either. When May was PM, Labour and Tories were neck and neck in polls

with the Lib Dems and Farage's Brexit Party taking just about as much too. When Boris became PM, a significant part of the Brexit vote went back to the Tories - they think he'll get out of the EU with a hard Brexit. If he manages that, then I think he'd be in a strong position, but how confident he really is about achieving that, or how much it's bluster, I can't tell. He's made a hell of a lot about getting out by Oct 31st, and he may not manage that.

The opposition is more split than a few years ago, because the Lib Dems have rediscovered a reason to vote for them - they are the definitely anti-Brexit party (for England; the SNP and Plaid Cymru are too in their nations). Labour has been trying to cover all the bases, which may be preserving their vote in some places at the expense in others. Working out how it will translate to winning seats is tough.

Recent polling: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election#2019