Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

United Kingdom

Showing Original Post only (View all)

Denzil_DC

(7,228 posts)
Sat Oct 26, 2019, 08:09 AM Oct 2019

Boris Johnson's snap-election bid could backfire and make Jeremy Corbyn prime minister [View all]

...
Johnson is in a weaker position than Theresa May was in 2017

When Prime Minister Theresa May called a general election in 2017, she already held a small majority over Corbyn's Labour Party, and polls put her as much as 25 points ahead.

However, by the end of that election campaign, Corbyn's party was neck and neck with May's Conservatives, meaning she lost her majority in Parliament.

Johnson, by contrast, would enter this campaign with no majority and with much smaller leads, of as little as 4 points, some recent polls have found. Some other polls have found significantly bigger leads for Johnson, of up to 15 points.

However, there remain significant doubts about whether Johnson's polling leads are large enough to withstand a general-election campaign, in which his party's almost 10 years in power would again be under the spotlight.

https://www.businessinsider.com/boris-johnson-brexit-election-bid-could-make-jeremy-corbyn-pm-2019-10


The other headings in the article:

Johnson's election message could fail

The 'remain' vote is now much more efficiently distributed

Johnson will have to gain lots of ground just to stand still

The Labour voters Johnson needs could prove too difficult to budge

Johnson's campaign could be wrecked by scandal


A tentatively cheery, if not uncontroversial, counterpoint to doom for a Saturday afternoon. I'm not sure I buy in to the prospect of a Corbyn premiership. Another hung parliament of some complexion is probably more likely.
4 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Latest Discussions»Region Forums»United Kingdom»Boris Johnson's snap-elec...»Reply #0