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NNadir

(33,515 posts)
9. Forest fires in SE Asia were very much involved in the 1997-1998 event, and until 2015...
Sun Apr 10, 2016, 11:35 PM
Apr 2016

...1998 was the worst year ever recorded.

This said, since the turn of the century, the rate of increase has been accelerating without major fires.

This can be seen by evaluating all of the data for annual increases from 1959 to the present date, which covers all the time that the carbon dioxide observatory at Mauna Loa has been operating.

From 1959 until 2000, a period of 41 years, there were five years where the increase exceeded 2.00 ppm, 1977, 1983, 1987, 1988 and 1998. Of these, only one year exceeded 2.5 ppm, the year of the SE Asian fires, 1998, at 2.93 ppm.

Since 2000, a period of 15 years, there have been nine years that exceeded 2.00 ppm, 2002, 2003, 2005, 2007, 2010, 2012, 2013, 2014, and 2015, the latter being the first to exceed 3.00 ppm. Four of these nine years exceeded 2.50 ppm, 2015, 2012, 2005, and 2002. It now seems possible that we will never see a year with an increase below 2.00 ppm again.

2016 is unbelievably bad so far. The weekly averages for increases over the same week of the year before, now stands at 3.25 ppm. The same average for the worst year ever observed, last year, was 2.25 ppm.

The grotesque failure to manage climate change gas releases can therefore not be attributed to forest fires alone.

One cause is that humanity has been telling itself a big lie, which is that if it throws huge sums of money at so called "renewable energy," it will make a difference. With more than 2 trillion dollars down the rabbit hole in the last ten years, and the numbers of dollars so wasted each year rising rather than falling, this approach is a clear and unambiguous failure. So called "renewable energy" has not worked, is not working, and will not work because of its low energy to mass ratio, its reliance on relatively rare materials, and its unpredictabilty and poor reliability.

Conversely, the superior form of energy, nuclear energy, has been maligned unmercifully by poor thinkers with small minds, and even though it remains, by far, the world's largest source of essentially climate gas free energy, there have been many poor decisions, like stupidly choosing to burn dangerous fossil fuels in Japan after Fukushima - air pollution from these fuels kill millions of people each year - because nuclear energy was claimed, insipidly, to be "unsafe."

The solubility of carbon dioxide in water decreases with rising temperature, as anyone who has opened a warm soda can on a hot day can easily see. Temperatures, in particular surface temperatures have been rising, and this is some feedback effect because of the decreased carbon dioxide solubility into the largest sink, the ocean. Since carbon dioxide, as well as the pollutants such as sulfates, sulfites, nitrates, and nitrites are all acidic, the ocean has been acidifying measurably, with the result that the solubility of carbon dioxide is falling even more than mere temperature suggests. The stability of methane and carbon dioxide hydrates also decreases with rising temperatures. Release from permafrost is also a factor. None of these effects are under human control, and we may be reaching a tipping point in many places on the planet where these issues are concerned.

It is no longer possible to attribute the accelerating disaster to any one event or cause. Human fear and ignorance and wishful thinking are all involved, but the failure to defeat the myths behind them has now probably pushed the situation beyond the region where any human action can matter all that much.

Have a nice week.



Consumption-driven deregulated capitalism requiring increasing production Ghost Dog Apr 2016 #1
Everyone, I do mean everyone, on the planet is involved. NNadir Apr 2016 #2
Nice read, thanks, but misses the point. Briefly, Ghost Dog Apr 2016 #3
I have written at length about the lack of decent living conditions for the bulk... NNadir Apr 2016 #4
Mmm. "Stalin", and "Libertarian". You profoundly misunderstand. Ghost Dog Apr 2016 #5
No thanks. I think I understand what I need to know about these subjects, and there are... NNadir Apr 2016 #6
Then, your advocacy is based in (deliberate) ignorance, Ghost Dog Apr 2016 #7
We all have our own definition of ignorance. Mine is obviously different than yours. NNadir Apr 2016 #11
Associating contemporary Somalia with anarchist political philosophy Ghost Dog Apr 2016 #17
where is this coming from? Any way to know where the bulk is emanating? Fast Walker 52 Apr 2016 #8
Forest fires in SE Asia were very much involved in the 1997-1998 event, and until 2015... NNadir Apr 2016 #9
thanks... interesting to think the increase in atmospheric C02 is due to release from a warmer ocean Fast Walker 52 Apr 2016 #10
We just spent, in ten years, two trillion dollars on so called "renewable infrastructure." NNadir Apr 2016 #12
I'm not convinced it is "quixotic" Fast Walker 52 Apr 2016 #13
Well, then, with all due respect, actual data conflicts with your failure to be convinced. NNadir Apr 2016 #14
I just said I wasn't convinced (yet), not that I can't be convinced. Fast Walker 52 Apr 2016 #15
Nuclear reality vs fantasy kristopher Apr 2016 #16
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