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Response to Igel (Reply #14)

Sat May 10, 2014, 01:51 PM

20. Thanks for the nice reply

 

That's more or less what I meant by the first sentence in reply 8. All outcomes are improbable, including any particular series of coin flipping in your example. So if after the fact someone notes the improbability of your coin flipping results and claim some sort of an improbable miracle, they would be mistaken.

But, from my own selfish perspective, the series of improbable events that created my consciousness is very much not like the rest. It's more the equivalent of me predicting the exact series of improbable events that created my consciousness and getting it right, and with a probability much less than in your penny example.

Most likely (one can only guess since we don't know what in our brains creates each of our conscious-selves), if our present visible Universe were all there is, there would be no getting around the fact that my existence right now is likely a highly improbable event. But there is almost definitely far more beyond the visible horizon in our Universe and there are likely far more universes beyond our own. Due to the huge existence out there, what would be highly improbable becomes far less so.

From my selfish perspective, my existence right now is evidence that there is far more beyond our visible universe (to make my existence right now reasonably likely), and my existence right now is also evidence that I am experiencing one of an infinite past and future conscious-selves in the infinite time of all of existence.

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