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2016 Postmortem

In reply to the discussion: How we get bush3 [View all]

Proud Liberal Dem

(24,392 posts)
14. Interesting theory
Wed Feb 15, 2012, 02:34 PM
Feb 2012

however, unless everybody falls into line and rallies around Jeb (who's seen as more of part of the GOP "establishment&quot , the "base" might end up feeling like they were cut out of the process and didn't get the nominee they wanted and split and run a 3rd party candidate and/or refuse to vote. Plus, no matter how Sarah Palin spins things, I can't honestly see them winning a "perception war" with a brokered (can't spell "brokered" without "broke&quot convention. I mean, if there IS a brokered convention and Jeb or somebody else magically becomes the nominee, then the corporate media won't be able to report on the nominee without mentioning that they became the nominee because of a brokered convention. People will (likely & rightly) perceive the GOP as too disorganized and unable to "get it together" to select their own nominee during the conventional process at the RNC, especially compared to the Democratic unity the presently exists around President Obama and will be even more evident during the DNC. Democrats could also run a few ads highlighting this as well. Even Obama could bring it up during the debates (i.e. "Why would the American people want to put a party fully in charge of the country when they can't even nominate a candidate the normal way?" "Brokered=Broken&quot The Clinton-Obama contest was rough in 2008 but Hillary didn't take it to the convention and people clearly wanted one or the other, so it wasn't like the DNC would have had to come up with a brand new candidate like the GOP might. Right now, none of the four GOP candidates seem to be running away with the nomination, not even Romney, who has always been considered the "frontrunner". I would also add that, after fawning over a "broke(red)" Republican candidate for a few days (or weeks), stuff will eventually come out about that candidate who will have less time to counter it effectively.

How we get bush3 [View all] Jakes Progress Feb 2012 OP
I think Jeb is waiting for 2016. tanyev Feb 2012 #1
Me too Auggie Feb 2012 #3
It's interesting Proud Liberal Dem Feb 2012 #6
That's why I thought the primaries were staged. Jakes Progress Feb 2012 #10
I've been saying that right along peace frog Feb 2012 #12
Conventional wisdom says he should keep his powder dry until 2016, and I bought into it, BUT... Brother Buzz Feb 2012 #15
Very interesting food for thought Jake. Puglover Feb 2012 #2
I personally think that is the one thing Republicans could do Samantha Feb 2012 #4
I can see that. Jakes Progress Feb 2012 #8
If it's kabuki, izquierdista Feb 2012 #5
Well, republicans always Jakes Progress Feb 2012 #7
There will not be another Bush in the White House. sufrommich Feb 2012 #9
That would be good. Jakes Progress Feb 2012 #11
Can't agree, although I would love to peace frog Feb 2012 #13
Well, yeah, I never said he'd win. tanyev Feb 2012 #19
Interesting theory Proud Liberal Dem Feb 2012 #14
You hit on something very important, there. sofa king Feb 2012 #20
Another thing I thought of Proud Liberal Dem Feb 2012 #21
Three month's worth of postings... Craigtee3030 Feb 2012 #16
It's very likely that the general public is still very wary of the Bush name. We are still Cal33 Feb 2012 #17
I'm not sold on the brokered convention yet, PRETZEL Feb 2012 #18
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