Bernie's advantages from here on out

[Chichiri]

12. Take Vermont, for example.

It's extremely white, extremely liberal, and is Bernie's home state. Because of these factors, we expected that he would get significantly more delegates than Hillary. That's what advantage means in this case. But more than that, by analyzing the demographics, we can put a number on the advantage and say, if the population as a whole in the country is split evenly between the two candidates, the skewed population in Vermont, because it has a much greater share of Bernie-friendly demographics, will vote for him in such large numbers that he would take 14 of the 16 candidates. If he had gotten less than 14, he would have underperformed, and would have to make up the difference in other states. (As it happened, he got all 16 from Vermont, which means Hillary has to make up two delegates elsewhere.)

Hope that makes sense.