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2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: There are 4 contests this weekend. Sanders is favored in 3 out of 4: Go Kansas, Nebraska, and Maine! [View all]Chelsea2032
(38 posts)33. Bernie has no chance in the south
White-male, Northeastern-jew does not do well south of the Mason Dixon. This is setting up for a long campaign. Hillary sweeps the South, Bernie dominates west of the Mississippi, and the Northeast will determine the next president.
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There are 4 contests this weekend. Sanders is favored in 3 out of 4: Go Kansas, Nebraska, and Maine! [View all]
Attorney in Texas
Mar 2016
OP
Our future and particularly the future of our children's children depend on it.
PWPippin
Mar 2016
#202
that explains why we are not hearing about any contests this weekend in the corporate press
corkhead
Mar 2016
#3
This sort of sanctimonious thought process I think is part of why Sanders is losing
mythology
Mar 2016
#234
Not even 2% in MA - only 1% (to another significant figure, it is 1.4%. Which does NOT round to 2%)
kath
Mar 2016
#117
It is unfortunate then that Bernie's supporters have failed him by refusing to vote. nt
hack89
Mar 2016
#73
And when the delegrates see that Hillary can't possibly win without carrying blue States
Lorien
Mar 2016
#207
Election day is still a long time from now..lots of time and many arguments...revolution may begin.
Pauldg47
Mar 2016
#252
Super delegates will vote in the best interest of the party including down ballot races
Gothmog
Mar 2016
#257
There seems to be less indication of PUMAs from the Clinton side than the Sanders side
onenote
Mar 2016
#63
You realize you are counting Superdelegates, right? Which can change and are not counted until
magical thyme
Mar 2016
#165
Keep telling yourself that certain states don't count if it makes you feel better
Cali_Democrat
Mar 2016
#4
Then in the general election, she'll discover the truth about those states that "don't count".
Gregorian
Mar 2016
#7
The primary calendar does not bend strongly in Sanders' favor until March 22 through April 9.
Attorney in Texas
Mar 2016
#14
Pretty sure Hillary is favored, overwhelmingly in every contest after this weekend
Godhumor
Mar 2016
#27
It's hard to say how events and state-by-state results will play out between now and then. We'll see
Attorney in Texas
Mar 2016
#31
Yep...at that point, unless the constant media "it's over" bleating works, the tables turn.
Lizzie Poppet
Mar 2016
#134
I love the way that you cherry pick and cite some results of Predictwise but ignore others
Gothmog
Mar 2016
#258
It's not cherry picking - I'm expecting betting markets to accurately predict events occurring today
Attorney in Texas
Mar 2016
#263
And when Trump is being sworn in, what will you tell yourself to make yourself feel better?
basselope
Mar 2016
#17
A democratic candidate can not win the south in the General election. Maybe in 10 or 15 years.
LiberalArkie
Mar 2016
#89
Maybe if we had a 35-45 year old dynamic guy telling us he was going to bring us health care
LiberalArkie
Mar 2016
#121
That's just wrong, and everyone knows it. But most Hill supporters look the other way...
reformist2
Mar 2016
#45
Didn't we just have a bucketload of posts about how states like these don't count?
Blue_Adept
Mar 2016
#10
No states are meaningless. Clinton's performance in the less progressive states has meaning just as
Attorney in Texas
Mar 2016
#18
They are. But they are what we are stuck with at the moment. I'm caucusing on Sunday
magical thyme
Mar 2016
#168
Feel free to link so we can all see that the three aggregation sites are wrong
Godhumor
Mar 2016
#150
I'm picking your second option too. If it was so pervasive in this forum, that person could have
Number23
Mar 2016
#172
My info is from February. You have not posted anything except "he's leading. I don't have a single
Number23
Mar 2016
#174
If you liked "facts" you would have posted them the first five times you were asked
Number23
Mar 2016
#182
I don't think it's fun, I think it's some weird type of desperate hope and denial
Number23
Mar 2016
#189
As late as you are to this thread and discussion, you'd think you'd be better able to read through
Number23
Mar 2016
#275
And between Michigan and NY there's Idaho, Utah, Alaska, Hawaii, Washington, Wisconsin, Wyoming, etc
Attorney in Texas
Mar 2016
#23
Gotta take each week as it comes. After March 15 comes a GREAT stretch for Sanders and March 15 may
Attorney in Texas
Mar 2016
#38
Demographics is not destiny. You should not assume that all people within a demographic group vote
Attorney in Texas
Mar 2016
#70
"they are targeting caucus states because they think they do better with lower turnout."
Number23
Mar 2016
#146
Even California will come too late to save Bernie. He'd have to win by a HUGE margin...but he won't.
NurseJackie
Mar 2016
#98
So in other word the media will only cover and see as important Louisiana
Cobalt Violet
Mar 2016
#40
If we follow the logic of some Sanders supporters Nebraska, Kansas don't matter.
iandhr
Mar 2016
#42
If we follow the logic of Clinton, she was dodging a barrage of sniper fire in this photo:
Attorney in Texas
Mar 2016
#51
"Deep-Red-Republican South" issue is cultural, NOT racial. Ask yourself: has Sanders won the white
Attorney in Texas
Mar 2016
#65
So we're counting "states" now? I thought it was DELEGATES. Interesting. Go figure!
NurseJackie
Mar 2016
#66
You may be surprised to learn this, but neither polls nor betting markets are DELEGATE specific so
Attorney in Texas
Mar 2016
#78
Hillary and Trump sweep the South. Bernie has the Progressive vote locked down.
sabrina 1
Mar 2016
#82
That would be pretty optimistic. I'd love to see it, but I'll be happy with a comfortable win.
Attorney in Texas
Mar 2016
#95
those weren't polls, but betting percentages. Polls have Bernie up about 15 points in Maine
magical thyme
Mar 2016
#162
Thanks. I was about to put something like this together to keep track of Bernie's progress
Cleita
Mar 2016
#100
The Civil War is over, all states in the "Deep South" (i.e., "Dixie") were readmitted to the Union..
George II
Mar 2016
#107
So we agree that the Dixie vote is not to be valued to the exclusion of the MAJORITY of votes cast
Attorney in Texas
Mar 2016
#112
"We agree that it is offensive for someone to declare victory based on the Dixie vote"
George II
Mar 2016
#141
Bill Clinton is going to be busy shutting down polling stations this weekend! nt
valerief
Mar 2016
#123
The reality is that Bernie needed Super Tuesday to be within 150 delegates to remain viable. He beat
magical thyme
Mar 2016
#166
Probably will inspire more donations, though the campaign's supporters have already been amazing
Babel_17
Mar 2016
#194
Winning states is nice but winning delegates is better and Bernie needs to win a delegate rich state
LonePirate
Mar 2016
#231
Since you raised the issue of "Deep South" and "Dixie", I thought it might be useful.....
George II
Mar 2016
#246
Bernie has the progressive, Independent, Feminist, gaining rapidly in the progressive minority
sabrina 1
Mar 2016
#271