2016 Postmortem

CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)

36. It comes from the fact that:

Mon Mar 14, 2016, 06:11 PM

Mar 2016

1) A lot of people have already voted

2) The primaries in question are tomorrow

So, literally there is no more time to change anyone else's mind. So, if in indeed the race in three states is tightening, there is no more time for them to tighten further; those primaries are upon us.

However, let's say that Bernie actually closed the gap in three states and not FL and NC - then he is in still in big trouble because he is not catching up, he is getting further behind. How's that for being analytical.

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Highlight:

Trending Sanders: YouGov Illinois poll +2%; PPP Missouri poll +1%; Baldwin University Ohio poll +1%! [View all] Attorney in Texas Mar 2016 OP

All the trending is in the same direction -- only a matter of time pdsimdars Mar 2016 #1

In case you have noticed - there is no more time. CajunBlazer Mar 2016 #14

Do you think that polling is taking account of those who have already voted? SheilaT Mar 2016 #15

You would think that it would, but I don't know for sure CajunBlazer Mar 2016 #34

It would be interesting to find out in the end SheilaT Mar 2016 #37

I'll bet it is CajunBlazer Mar 2016 #38

Yeah, I think the Bernie campaign has been forgetting about early voting. SusanCalvin Mar 2016 #22

Hmm kenfrequed Mar 2016 #24

It comes from the fact that: CajunBlazer Mar 2016 #36

Except... kenfrequed Mar 2016 #50

They won't be worth more if the candidates "virtually tie" and... CajunBlazer Mar 2016 #53

"fairly close" won't be good enough to close the delegate gap for Sanders. nt Jitter65 Mar 2016 #45

I think he will probably pick up pledged delegates if we are lucky kenfrequed Mar 2016 #51

I do hope the stronger candidate gets nominated. Bucky Mar 2016 #2

Yikes! Punkingal Mar 2016 #3

YouGov had Clinton +11 in Michigan before the primary mathewsleep Mar 2016 #4

I think all three states will be coin-toss close. I have a hunch Sanders will take at least 2 of 3, Attorney in Texas Mar 2016 #6

If turnout is through the roof in all 5 states, we win all five Tiggeroshii Mar 2016 #27

Eh... kenfrequed Mar 2016 #52

I do not think I've ever seen anything quite like this Jarqui Mar 2016 #5

Michigan showed the Queen has no clothes demwing Mar 2016 #7

I thought after what she did in 2008, more would be able to see through Jarqui Mar 2016 #8

we are watching history, Jarqui grasswire Mar 2016 #26

I agree about the trend Jarqui Mar 2016 #31

Subtract 20% from his advantage, and voila, Nate Silver's numbers! closeupready Mar 2016 #9

And this even with the DNC's dirty tricks. jalan48 Mar 2016 #10

I worry about Illinois and the old Daley machine. Bernie could have a million votes and HRC 0 LiberalArkie Mar 2016 #11

I do too. zentrum Mar 2016 #13

Probably going back to Capone in Chicago. The machine here in Arkansas goes back to LiberalArkie Mar 2016 #35

That's fascinating. zentrum Mar 2016 #39

I had an Arkansas history class in 6th grade Art_from_Ark Mar 2016 #40

I'm speechless zentrum Mar 2016 #41

I will say this about our Arkansas History textbook Art_from_Ark Mar 2016 #43

That will work for Clinton CajunBlazer Mar 2016 #12

I keep on reading that after tomorrow the states still left SheilaT Mar 2016 #16

If the media were truthful and rational... Helen Borg Mar 2016 #17

Lol + 1 nt NCTraveler Mar 2016 #46

Yes, if the MSM were fair, people would have known Bernie much sooner senz Mar 2016 #47

LETS ROLL!!!!!!!! Fuddnik Mar 2016 #18

Do IL, MO, and OH all have open primaries? Roland99 Mar 2016 #19

Fuck yeah they do!!! Attorney in Texas Mar 2016 #21

"Excellent!" Roland99 Mar 2016 #23

We're not worthy!!!!! Elmer S. E. Dump Mar 2016 #25

I'm so glad, dpatbrown Mar 2016 #20

LOL Fawke Em Mar 2016 #48

K & R! TIME TO PANIC Mar 2016 #28

Kicked and recommended a whole bunch! Enthusiast Mar 2016 #29

Feel the Bern.......................... turbinetree Mar 2016 #30

K&R! dchill Mar 2016 #32

Kicked and recommended. Uncle Joe Mar 2016 #33

NICE! John Poet Mar 2016 #42

I wonder what adjustments they made after Michigan Ruby the Liberal Mar 2016 #44

kicked and rec'd Vote2016 Mar 2016 #49

Polls were wrong Renew Deal Mar 2016 #54

Those were probably "corporate polls" brooklynite Mar 2016 #55

Aren't they all? Renew Deal Mar 2016 #56