2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Do the state of the polls (in general) seem just surreal to anyone else? [View all]Cosmocat
(14,561 posts)I HOPE that is the case.
But, all the 'reputable" poll people have the Dems getting anywhere between 6 to the low teams in house pick ups.
I saw nancy Pelosi on a show with Rachel maddow, I think a few weeks ago, and she basically said she thinks they have a good shot at getting the 25 to flip it, that she would like 35 to have a margin if they do, but that was highly unlikely.
I just saw a scatter plot graph someone where posted here yesterday about House seats in relation to presidential votes, and there are not a lot of R seats in districts that BO carried the year before.
Just seems a HARD slog.
I full well know who is running where in the Senate.
Again, the projections were the Rs had a shot at getting the senate, and now as the races have settled in, the Ds actually have a shot to get two or three, maybe end up at 54 give or take a seat or two.
Again, I WANT the House to flip, and I do believe the pundits always down play the Ds chances at anything positive, but I have not seen anything from any kind of actual pollster or viable analyst that indicates a 40 or more D pickup in the House.