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2016 Postmortem

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Dragonfli

(10,622 posts)
Thu Apr 7, 2016, 10:23 AM Apr 2016

The dangers to the party if Clinton continues her scorched earth attacks go beyond the discussions [View all]

Last edited Thu Apr 7, 2016, 11:26 AM - Edit history (2)

regarding how it will hurt party unity.

There are some things to point out that go beyond party internal damage and loss of registered Democrats that WILL effect the General election and down ticket races that could really hurt our party's numbers in the Senate and House besides potentially losing the presidency if she salts the earth in a frustrated rage against Sanders.


[center]There are larger elephants (or block of voters) in the room that one must understand we will lose[/center]

There are the independent voters that have only come out for Bernie (they are Independents because they don't like either party's establishments or corruption) contrary to popular belief, they are mostly to the left of the current Democratic party, but about 30% are just right wing bigots that don't like establishment Republicans (lets call them the Trump revolution), they have been polled and like all the stuff we lost when we abandoned the FDR, LBJ programs and the union factory jobs IOW the american dream.

Of those polled 70% are in favor of left wing (old school policies that are and were Democratized Socialism FDR, LBJ policies and even beyond that), I think they are the displaced and disgusted x Democrats, the only reason the party has not shrunk to lower than the 29% of the population the party lately enjoys, is some were replaced by moderate Republicans in the form of "new Democrats" or DLCers if you prefer that have been forced out of the R party by the John Birch Society loons and Theocrats. You will notice that in open primary States the numbers match and we gain much of that 70% (I) for Sanders in tangible votes, they will go Bernie or Bust, they don't like establishment right wing Democrats like Hillary, we did get some back in the '08 voting cycle but long story short we lost them due to feeling they fell for false advertising (one could argue rightly or wrongly so), but lost again nevertheless This block of voters is crucial to win a GE

There is the younger vote that will mostly only come out for Bernie, they are very well informed (not buying into the Pravda media outlets) tend not to vote in many elections because they see through the establishment and only see themselves losing a future they should have, ecologically and financially and don't see the value in voting to continue the trend.

The ecological part is rather self evident because actual climate change is quite real and will effect them more than the older generations, and being well informed, they see establishment politicians as continuing the fossil fuel favoring industries that support both parties through lobbyists.
Financially they see themselves either falling heavily in debt for college and end up flipping burgers anyway for the most part (some do get good jobs from degrees but far too few and are still in great debt) the rest see college as an unattainable pipe dream and end up flipping burgers or unemployed, many of both groups are forced to live at their parents homes much longer than in past generations This block of voters is crucial to win a GE.

There are the disenchanted, or too busy trying to live non voters that until Bernie showed up had given up on politics long ago as a means to positively affect their lives, most of them are poor which include the terminally unemployed in regions such as mine where all of the jobs outside of clerks at stores and restaurant workers have vanished since NAFTA, and the working poor that work two or three jobs for the privilege of trying to raise a family in poverty even tho they work hard, they are very stressed about things like, can we pay the rent or the utility bill this month and sometimes have to choose, that choice leaving them as prey to the pay day loan sharks. This is the fastest growing demographic as this is the hell you are sent to as the middle class disappears if you are not already born into it as most are. This is the largest group of voters , usually non voters as evidenced by our very low national turnout the last 4 decades, because of this This block of voters is crucial to win a GE.


Now, the 29% or 30% of solid Democrat voters are in a civil war between the traditional (and the only successful for the 99% policy wise) old school FDR LBJ Democrats, and the what would once have been called Moderate Republican "New" Democrats. It is a very real schism in the party.

For all the blustering and anger during the primary they will still probably, for the most part hold their nose and vote for the lesser of two evil Republicans types in the GE, but lacking the three groups I mentioned above that few on DU are talking about we can not win a General election, especially if Hillary wins and unites the Republicans in their common hatred of her that now spans two generations (I personally believe they will break records coming out for the privilege of hate voting against her).

Perhaps enough of the three un-talked about elephants in the room I mentioned will show up to vote with the Democrats against the Republicans, under a Clinton nominee, I have my doubts, but perhaps.

But two things are certain.
One, these three groups will come out in much large numbers for Sanders and polling shows this, and two, if Clinton goes all scorched earth she may actually split the party enough that the nose holding Democrats won't unite this time around around her as they usually do in the end and she will only increase her negative polling, hurting her further with the other three non Republican groups mentioned above and will most assuredly lose us more registered Democrats. JMHO

All that being said, my conclusion is we all lose if she doesn't stop with the frustration induced and ill advised hateful scorched earth policy she appears to be moving toward.

Edited to add due to the Hillary's scorched earth policy deniers that try to revers it as a Sanders thing, how the truth is already known, much like climate change, but much like climate change deniers they will ignore the truth anyway

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Fixed your summation Dem2 Apr 2016 #1
You seem to be confused over who's scorching the earth RandySF Apr 2016 #2
You are either delusional or dishonest. eom PufPuf23 Apr 2016 #25
"If Bernie loses, I won't vote for Hillary" isn't a scorched earth strategy? baldguy Apr 2016 #3
Do you guys get a bonus for first response lame rubber glue comments without reading the Dragonfli Apr 2016 #6
Actually .. cannabis_flower Apr 2016 #36
Well...that is not Bernie's doing. PatrickforO Apr 2016 #45
She has already crossed that line for many. onecaliberal Apr 2016 #4
Unfortunately /nt Dragonfli Apr 2016 #21
This is Bernie's exit strategy. DURHAM D Apr 2016 #5
More rubber glue reverse Rovian crap, you guys are reading the same email aren't you? Dragonfli Apr 2016 #7
What email? DURHAM D Apr 2016 #8
Don't be so coy, the obvious exact same reversal of the talking point just happen to occur to you Dragonfli Apr 2016 #13
There's only one candidate claiming perpetual victimhood in this race. frylock Apr 2016 #30
There is a fourth elephant which people who populate this site nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #9
Good point Nadin, well worth mentioning Dragonfli Apr 2016 #15
Yeah, I think Ryan is in the wings along with his buddies, the Koch Nay Apr 2016 #18
That whole "unify the party later" plan is going to fail, big-time. arcane1 Apr 2016 #10
Agreed, that's why I think she should reconsider it, for everyone's good, even hers. /nt Dragonfli Apr 2016 #19
Actually Sanders calling Hillary unqualified was far worse than what she did ... Onlooker Apr 2016 #11
if H wins the primary,her supporters will be eaten alive with "frustrated rage." wendylaroux Apr 2016 #32
If the party cannot be taken back from the corporate pigs FlatBaroque Apr 2016 #12
Due to realignment the D side of FDR is dead nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #17
You and I both agree where they have been going ever since the Republican party Dragonfli Apr 2016 #20
And history training nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #22
It does tend to show patterns including party's changing over time, and history tends to repeat nt Dragonfli Apr 2016 #23
We are in the sixth party realignment nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #24
We've never had a Fascist Theocratic coalition party before, this realignment leaves no room Dragonfli Apr 2016 #27
I know nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #29
I think they will do much better, if (as is unfortunately likely) Clinton wins the nom Dragonfli Apr 2016 #33
Actually libertarians span the full spectrum nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #35
I agree they go from far left to far right when one understands what the term means and it's history Dragonfli Apr 2016 #40
You are correct nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #41
I have some acquaintances who have FB avatars & siglines elsewhere .... Myrina Apr 2016 #14
co-opting Sanders' line of "Love Trumps Hate" is part of the "unify the party later bit" /nt Dragonfli Apr 2016 #16
Great original OP Dragonfli. Thank you. PufPuf23 Apr 2016 #26
You're quite welcome, but if I wrote what you think it's only because I wrote the obvious. /nt Dragonfli Apr 2016 #28
Hillary Clinton is cultivating the same hatred of her within the Democratic base as she enjoys with Kip Humphrey Apr 2016 #31
Please identify the "scorched earth" tactic. Jitter65 Apr 2016 #34
Blaming Sanders for the deaths at sandy hook is the start, but more is planned Dragonfli Apr 2016 #38
I think it's already too late the FDR version of democratic party is indeed dead PFunk1 Apr 2016 #37
Actually Nadin made a similar point as you and she makes good observations Dragonfli Apr 2016 #39
She did. I was just trying to expand and add my two cents on it. PFunk1 Apr 2016 #42
I very much agree with you on that. /nt Dragonfli Apr 2016 #43
kick for the afternoon crowd /nt Dragonfli Apr 2016 #44
Kick. CrispyQ Apr 2016 #46
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