2016 Postmortem
Showing Original Post only (View all)Request: show the math supporting Sanders' path to 2,384 or 2,026 delegates [View all]
2,384 is what is needed to secure the nomination overall, while 2,026 is the majority of pledged delegates.
We've seen some pretty wild claims in the past few days regarding Sanders getting landslides...or even 85% shutouts...in some upcoming states. I'd think we'd all be interested in seeing the math behind the claims that he can still win a majority of the pledged delegates, so let's see it.
http://demrace.com
Nice site with sliders and easy-to-adjust numbers and such. It will even let you save your results to post here.
Mine: http://DemRace.com/?share=i2gFDjEe
Strong showings in the Mid-Atlantic and the remaining New England States, large Latino and African-American populations in Puerto Rico and Washington Dc respectively. Also in California where Sanders will make a good showing but simply doesn't have the ground game for sufficient outreach millions of voters. Clinton goes into the convention with 2,185, a +319 advantage.
16 votes, 1 pass | Time left: Time expired | |
Sanders can win 2,384 pledged delegates, and not need the superdelegates | |
0 (0%) |
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Sanders can win 2,026 pledged delegates, needs the superdelegates to hit 2,384 | |
3 (19%) |
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Clinton can win 2,384 pledged delegates, and not need the superdelegates | |
0 (0%) |
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Clinton can win 2,026 pledged delegates, needs the superdelegates to hit 2,384 | |
6 (38%) |
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Sanders will drop out sometime between April 26th and July 25th, rendering this moot | |
7 (44%) |
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Clinton will drop out sometime between April 26th and July 25th, rendering this moot | |
0 (0%) |
|
Other | |
0 (0%) |
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