2016 Postmortem

Agnosticsherbet

(11,619 posts)

30. In 2008, Obama never led by more than about 90 or so delegates.

Sun Apr 24, 2016, 09:47 PM

Apr 2016

The proportional system used to divide the delegates means Sanders must win every primary by 58%+.
It also means that Clinton can lose every primary, and as long as Sanders is kept below that 58%+ number in one primary, he can not win.
Now, when you look at the polls in the upcoming primaries this Tuesday, it is clear that Sanders is not gong to come anywhere near his required number. He will lose most of them on Tuesday, and continue losing most of them until the end.
Impossible, no. But he would need a real miracle, and Democrats are just not that much into him to give him a miracle.

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Hillary leads Bernie by only 235 - There are 1,400 still up for grabs [View all] TheDormouse Apr 2016 OP

LOL! nt onehandle Apr 2016 #1

You are making the same argument that Hillary supporters made at this point in 2008 stevenleser Apr 2016 #2

No, that is wrong beedle Apr 2016 #12

As I noted elsewhere here, there were 500 less delegates in 2008 than this year. Comparing... George II Apr 2016 #17

You don't need to 'normalize' the number left vs the number needed to tie. beedle Apr 2016 #18

I do understand real math, not "Devine/Weaver" math. George II Apr 2016 #21

Obviosuly you failed math beedle Apr 2016 #22

"Obviosuly"? George II Apr 2016 #23

That other subject you seem unfamilar with is called History. beedle Apr 2016 #35

This is beginning to sound like the Abbott and Costello baseball bit... George II Apr 2016 #39

I see now. You are lousy in Math, History AND reading comprehension. beedle Apr 2016 #42

Sleep tight, we'll revisit this about 10 PM or so on Tuesday night, when it's even FURTHER.... George II Apr 2016 #43

I accept your apology. beedle Apr 2016 #45

Not an apology. What gave you that idea? George II Apr 2016 #46

one apology is enough. beedle Apr 2016 #47

Ouch! TheDormouse Apr 2016 #26

Instead of laughing, why don't you get together with your buddy beedle and figure out.... George II Apr 2016 #34

Once again you are being a Hillary supporter beedle Apr 2016 #40

Because the POOL OF DELEGATES remaining is BIGGER JimDandy Apr 2016 #41

Never give up Ino Apr 2016 #3

#berniemath Tarc Apr 2016 #4

Your math is off Gwhittey Apr 2016 #5

lol TheDormouse Apr 2016 #9

Check in again on Wednesday. MineralMan Apr 2016 #6

Exactly. It will be a bigger lead and less to go. YouDig Apr 2016 #29

which means Bernie has to win 58% of the remaining delegates to tie her. kennetha Apr 2016 #7

What about the following... Corporate666 Apr 2016 #8

Why do you bother posting this info if you're so convinced of it? TheDormouse Apr 2016 #10

Perhaps for the same reason you posted the OP? George II Apr 2016 #16

the difference is that the info in the OP is being buried by the media TheDormouse Apr 2016 #19

Actually the info in the OP is incorrect, but we see similar (correct) info in the media every day. George II Apr 2016 #20

What specifically is incorrect? TheDormouse Apr 2016 #24

Clinton is currently ahead by 241 delegates, not 235. I gave you the link to the accurate count. George II Apr 2016 #25

because those 6 delegates make all the difference TheDormouse Apr 2016 #28

You are a corporate devil, now aren't you? Ed Suspicious Apr 2016 #27

He need to keep Hillary left, if that is even possible! Nt Logical Apr 2016 #44

Bernie is ahead of where Obama was this time in 2008: amborin Apr 2016 #11

Sorry, there were 500 less delegates in 2008 than this year. That would give Obama the equivalent.. George II Apr 2016 #15

The lead is 241. It will be up to about 275 by midnight Tuesday, with slightly over 1,000 to go. George II Apr 2016 #13

"Only" isn't a word that should be used KingFlorez Apr 2016 #14

In 2008, Obama never led by more than about 90 or so delegates. Agnosticsherbet Apr 2016 #30

... UMTerp01 Apr 2016 #31

You do understand that delegates are awarded proportionally? That is why it is even more still_one Apr 2016 #32

Lets forget about it guys, the $hill $upporters are saying that it is over. (sarcasm) insta8er Apr 2016 #33

Still pushing this meme? Beacool Apr 2016 #36

A third of those are up Tuesday. Zynx Apr 2016 #37

This primary is rigged... Who KNOWS how many delegates Bernie should have? AzDar Apr 2016 #38

That's why turnout is so important. It's harder to hide votes when the numbers are massive. TheDormouse Apr 2016 #49

Well, the pledged delegates are given proportionally to candidates votes utopia_basin Apr 2016 #48